WEEK 18 SATURDAY #KPI BASKETBALL (as of 3/15/14, 7am ET)

#KPI Headlines:

  • Full #KPI data (by team) as of Saturday 7 a.m. ET.
  • The top wins of Friday came from Louisiana Tech (beat Southern Miss, .72), N.C. State (beat Syracuse, .70), Iowa State (beat Kansas, .67), Connecticut (beat Cincinnati, .67) and St. Bonaventure (beat Saint Louis .67).
  • Possible bid stealers still exist in Conference USA (if Louisiana Tech loses), Atlantic 10 (if St. Bonaventure wins twice), ACC (if N.C. State wins one OR two), SEC (if Georgia wins twice), MAC (if Toledo loses) and the Big East (if Providence isn’t already in the field).
  • The #KPI missed one team in 2013.  The formula put Southern Miss ahead of Villanova (which did not hold true).  This year, Southern Miss (27-6) sits at No. 37 in the #KPI.  There is concern for No. 36 Toledo (if they don’t win the MAC) and No. 46 Green Bay (lost in Horizon semifinals).  Teams like No. 56 Iowa, No. 57 Providence, No. 58 Xavier and No. 60 SMU are not liked by the math as much as some.  I’m convinced one curve ball could come from this group.
  • Four teams have now won 30 or more games: No. 1 Arizona, No. 2 Florida, No. 4 Wichita State and No. 40 Stephen F. Austin.  Should SFA not get the AQ from the Southland (vs. Sam Houston State on Saturday), let’s talk…
  • In conference tournament action, home teams are 31-13 (.705).  215 of 259 conference tournament games have been played at neutral sites.
  • The 4OT game between Arkansas-Little Rock and Arkansas State in the Sun Belt quarterfinals was the first conference tournament to go to four or more overtimes since the Syracuse-Connecticut 6OT game on March 12, 2009.  The 230 combined points was the third highest total of any game this year (Holy Cross 122, Sacred Heart 118, 2OT on Nov. 13; Southeast Missouri State 118, Murray State 115, 2OT on Mar. 1).
  • Through Friday’s conference tournament games, teams are averaging 65.4 Poss/G, 1.046 Pts/Poss, 23.4-53.9 FG (43.4%), 6.1-18.0 3pt (34.0%), 15.4-22.1 FT (70.0%), 33.7 rebounds, 11.4 assists, 5.8 steals, 3.4 blocks, 11.7 turnovers, 18.9 PFs and 68.4 PPG with an average margin of 10.7 PPG.

#KPI NCAA Tournament Field of 68 (as of Saturday, March 15, 7 a.m. ET): Automatic bids from the 32 conferences are determined by the top remaining seed if the AQ has not already been decided.  This list is comprised purely by math with no scrubbing. Conference tournament brackets are linked below.

  1. PAC-12 / #1 Arizona (30-3, 17-3 Pac-12), .374 / Best Win: at San Diego State .98
  2. SEC / #2 Florida (30-2, 19-0 SEC), .338 / Best Win: at Kentucky .81
  3. #3 Wisconsin (26-6, 13-6 Big Ten), .323 / Best Win: at Virginia .96
  4. MVC / #4 Wichita State (34-0, 21-0 MVC), .322 / Best Win: at Saint Louis .86
  5. #5 Kansas (24-9, 15-5 Big 12), .316 / Best Win: at Iowa State .84
  6. #6 Villanova (28-4, 16-3 Big East), .297 / Best Win: at Saint Joseph’s .84
  7. BIG TEN / #7 Michigan (24-7, 16-3 Big Ten), .278 / Best Win: at Wisconsin .92
  8. ACC / #8 Virginia (26-6, 17-2 ACC), .272 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .78
  9. BIG EAST / #9 Creighton (26-6, 16-4 Big East), .269 / Best Win: at Villanova 1.07
  10. #10 Duke (25-7, 14-5 ACC), .263 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .83
  11. #11 Syracuse (27-5, 14-5 ACC), .263 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .77
  12. MOUNTAIN WEST / #12 San Diego State (29-3, 18-2 Mountain West), .258 / Best Win: at Kansas .84
  13. BIG 12 / #13 Iowa State (25-7, 13-7 Big 12), .253 / Best Win: at BYU .69
  14. #14 New Mexico (26-6, 17-3 Mountain West), .250 / Best Win: at New Mexico State .75
  15. ATLANTIC 10 / #15 VCU (25-7, 13-4 A-10), .247 / Best Win: at Virginia .88
  16. AMERICAN / #16 Louisville (28-5, 17-3 American), .244 / Best Win: at Connecticut .87
  17. #17 Ohio State (25-8, 12-8 Big Ten), .242 / Best Win: at Wisconsin .88
  18. #18 UCLA (25-8, 14-6 Pac-12), .238 / Best Win: at Colorado .75
  19. #19 Connecticut (26-7, 14-6 American), .232 / Best Win: at Memphis .83
  20. #20 Cincinnati (27-6, 16-4 American), .232 / Best Win: at Louisville .90
  21. #21 Massachusetts (24-8, 11-7 A-10), .231 / Best Win: at George Washington .81
  22. #22 Saint Louis (26-6, 13-4 A-10), .230 / Best Win: at Saint Joseph’s .81
  23. #23 Michigan State (24-8, 13-6 Big Ten), .228 / Best Win: at Texas .75
  24. WCC / #24 Gonzaga (28-6, 18-3 WCC), .228 / Best Win: at St. Mary’s-CA .78
  25. #25 Kentucky (23-9, 13-6 SEC), .224 / Best Win: at Missouri .66
  26. #26 North Carolina (23-9, 13-6 ACC), .221 / Best Win: at Michigan State .84
  27. #27 Oklahoma (23-9, 12-7 Big 12), .215 / Best Win: at Baylor .72
  28. #28 George Washington (24-7, 12-5 A-10), .214 / Best Win: at Manhattan .78
  29. #29 Oregon (23-9, 11-9 Pac-12), .212 / Best Win: at UCLA .80
  30. #30 Baylor (24-10, 12-9 Big 12), .211 / Best Win: at Oklahoma State .66
  31. #31 Pittsburgh (25-8, 13-7 ACC), .198 / Best Win: at N.C. State .67
  32. #32 Texas (23-10, 12-8 Big 12), .198 / Best Win: at Baylor .78
  33. SUMMIT / #33 North Dakota State (25-6, 14-2 Summit), .195 / Best Win: at Western Michigan .70
  34. #34 Dayton (23-10, 11-7 A-10), .187 / Best Win: at Saint Louis .86
  35. IVY / #35 Harvard (26-4, 13-1 Ivy), .187 / Best Win: at Boston U. .71
  36. #36 Toledo (27-5, 15-4 MAC), .186 / Best Win: at Akron .61
  37. #37 Southern Miss (27-6, 14-4 C-USA), .184 / Best Win: at North Dakota State .81
  38. #38 Saint Joseph’s (22-9, 12-5 A-10), .182 / Best Win: at Dayton .71
  39. #39 BYU (23-11, 15-6 WCC), .179 / Best Win: at Stanford .66
  40. SOUTHLAND / #40 Stephen F. Austin (30-2, 19-0 Southland), .177 / Best Win: at Sam Houston State .68
  41. #41 Colorado (23-11, 12-9 Pac-12), .177 / Best Win: at Stanford .65
  42. #42 Stanford (21-12, 12-9 Pac-12), .174 / Best Win: at Connecticut .82
  43. #43 Memphis (23-9, 12-7 American), .168 / Best Win: at Louisville .91
  44. CONFERENCE USA / #44 Louisiana Tech (27-6, 15-3 C-USA), .166 / Best Win: at Oklahoma .75
  45. #45 Oklahoma State (21-12, 9-11 Big 12), .165 / Best Win: vs. Louisiana Tech .70
  46. #46 Green Bay (24-6, 14-3 Horizon), .162 / Best Win: at Cleveland State .68
  47. #47 N.C. State (21-12, 11-9 ACC), .155 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .79
  48. #48 Tennessee (21-11, 12-7 SEC), .154 / Best Win: vs. Virginia .70
  49. #49 Arizona State (21-11, 10-9 Pac-12), .153 / Best Win: vs. Arizona .66
  50. #50 Nebraska (19-12, 11-8 Big Ten), .153 / Best Win: at Michigan State .83
  51. #51 Kansas State (20-12, 10-9 Big 12), .152 / Best Win: vs. Gonzaga .71
  52. MAAC / #64 Manhattan (25-7, 18-5 MAAC), .130 / Best Win: at Canisius .56
  53. WAC / #68 New Mexico State (25-9, 14-4 WAC), .115 / Best Win: at New Mexico .89
  54. SUN BELT / #69 Georgia State (24-7, 17-1 Sun Belt), .114 / Best Win: at Western Kentucky .64
  55. MAC / #73 Western Michigan (22-9, 15-4 MAC), .112 / Best Win: at Ohio .67
  56. COLONIAL / #75 Delaware (25-9, 17-2 Colonial), .109 / Best Win: at William & Mary .56
  57. ATLANTIC SUN / #84 Mercer (26-8, 17-4 Atlantic Sun), .100 / Best Win: at Florida Gulf Coast .53
  58. OHIO VALLEY / #92 Eastern Kentucky (24-9, 14-5 OVC), .089 / Best Win: at IPFW .69
  59. MEAC / #98 North Carolina Central (27-5, 17-1 MEAC), .068 / Best Win: at N.C. State .65
  60. PATRIOT / #123 American (20-12, 16-5 Patriot), .048 / Best Win: at Boston U. .80
  61. HORIZON / #131 Milwaukee (21-13, 11-9 Horizon), .041 / Best Win: at Green Bay .83
  62. SOUTHERN / #147 Wofford (20-12, 14-5 Southern), .026 / Best Win: vs. Winthrop .48
  63. BIG SKY / #155 Weber State (18-11, 15-6 Big Sky), .016 / Best Win: North Dakota .35
  64. AMERICA EAST / #165 Stony Brook (23-9, 15-3 America East), .011 / Best Win: vs. Vermont .39
  65. BIG SOUTH / #166 Coastal Carolina (21-12, 14-5 Big South), .009 / Best Win: at Radford .47
  66. NORTHEAST / #234 Mount St. Mary’s (16-16, 12-7 Northeast), -.051 / Best Win: at Robert Morris .56
  67. BIG WEST / #236 Cal State-Northridge (17-17, 9-9 Big West), -.055 / Best Win: vs. UC-Santa Barbara .64
  68. SWAC / #238 Texas Southern (18-14, 14-6 SWAC), -.056 / Best Win; at Southern U. .46

#KPI NIT Tournament Field of 32 (as of Saturday, March 15, 7 a.m. ET): Automatic bids are awarded to teams who won their regular season conference title, but did not win their conference tournament.

  1. OHIO VALLEY / #52 Belmont (24-9, 15-3 OVC), .151 / Best Win: at Middle Tennessee .76
  2. #53 California (19-13, 10-9 Pac-12), .148 / Best Win: at Oregon .79
  3. #54 Florida State (19-13, 10-10 ACC), .148 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .78
  4. #55 Missouri (22-11, 10-10 SEC), .147 / Best Win: at N.C. State .63
  5. #56 Iowa (20-12, 9-10 Big Ten), .147 / Best Win: at Ohio State .82
  6. #57 Providence (22-11, 12-8 Big East), .146 / Best Win: vs. Creighton .61
  7. #58 Xavier (21-12, 11-9 Big East), .143 / Best Win: vs. Cincinnati .76
  8. #59 Minnesota (20-13, 9-11 Big Ten), .139 / Best Win: vs. Wisconsin .62
  9. #60 SMU (23-9, 12-7 American), .138 / Best Win: at Connecticut .87
  10. #61 Illinois (19-14, 8-12 Big Ten), .138 / Best Win: at Michigan State .82
  11. #62 St. Mary’s-CA (22-11, 12-8 WCC), .131 / Best Win: at Boise State .57
  12. #63 Arkansas (21-11, 10-9 SEC), .130 / Best Win: at Kentucky .77
  13. #65 St. John’s (20-12, 10-9 Big East), .129 / Best Win: at Providence .68
  14. #66 Ohio (23-11, 13-8 MAC), .123 / Best Win: at Akron .63
  15. #67 Middle Tennessee (24-9, 14-4 C-USA), .118 / Best Win: vs. Southern Miss .59
  16. #70 Clemson (20-12, 11-9 ACC), .119 / Best Win: vs. Duke .59
  17. MAAC / #71 Iona (22-10, 19-4 MAAC), .113 / Best Win: at Florida Gulf Coast .56
  18. #72 Georgetown (17-14, 8-11 Big East), .113 / Best Win: vs. VCU .65
  19. #74 San Francisco (21-11, 14-6 WCC), .111 / Best Win: vs. St. Mary’s-CA .42
  20. #76 Georgia (19-12, 13-6 SEC), .108 / Best Win: at Missouri .66
  21. #77 Utah (21-11, 10-10 Pac-12), .107 / Best Win: at California .56
  22. #78 Richmond (19-14, 9-9 A-10), .104 / Best Win: at William & Mary .55
  23. #79 LSU (19-13, 10-10 SEC), .103 / Best Win: vs. Saint Joseph’s .61
  24. #80 Cleveland State (21-11, 12-5 Horizon), .102 / Best Win: at Milwaukee .62
  25. PATRIOT / #89 Boston U. (24-10, 17-4 Patriot), .094 / Best Win: vs. UC-Irvine .61
  26. AMERICA EAST / #107 Vermont (22-10, 16-2 America East), .064 / Best Win: vs. Yale .42
  27. BIG WEST / #110 UC-Irvine (23-11, 14-4 Big West), .062 / Best Win: at Hawaii .50
  28. SOUTHERN / #126 Davidson (20-12, 16-2 Southern), .045 / Best Win: at Wofford .56
  29. ATLANTIC SUN / #148 Florida Gulf Coast (22-12, 16-5 Atlantic Sun), .025 / Best Win: at Mercer .49
  30. NORTHEAST / #150 Robert Morris (21-13, 16-3 Northeast), .024 / Best Win: vs. St. Francis-NY .46
  31. WAC / #159 Utah Valley (20-11, 14-4 WAC), .014 / Best Win: vs. New Mexico State .46
  32. BIG SOUTH / #164 High Point (16-14, 12-5 Big South), .011 / Best Win: at William & Mary .55

#KPI Top Games for Saturday, March 15:

  1. #18 UCLA vs. #1 Arizona (Saturday 6 p.m. ET, FOX Sports 1)
  2. #17 Ohio State vs. #7 Michigan (Saturday 1:40 p.m. ET, CBS)
  3. #23 Michigan State vs. #3 Wisconsin (Saturday 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS)
  4. #14 New Mexico vs. #12 San Diego State (Saturday 6 p.m. ET, CBS)
  5. #19 Connecticut vs. #16 Louisville (Saturday 6 p.m. ET, ESPN)
  6. #31 Pittsburgh vs. #8 Virginia (Saturday 1 p.m. ET, ESPN)
  7. #28 George Washington vs. #15 VCU (Saturday 4 p.m. ET, CBS Sports Network)
  8. #30 Baylor vs. #13 Iowa State (Saturday 9 p.m. ET, ESPN)
  9. #48 Tennessee vs. #2 Florida (Saturday 1 p.m. ET, ABC)
  10. #47 North Carolina State vs. #10 Duke (Saturday 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPN)

Notes on Rule ChangesNote that any discrepancy between #KPI and NCAA data is how games against Non Division-I schools are counted (approximately 3.8% of the data)

This is the #KPI

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WEEK 18 FRIDAY #KPI BASKETBALL (as of 3/14/14, 10am ET)

#KPI Headlines:

  • Full #KPI data (by team) as of Friday 10 a.m. ET
  • By math, the current No. 1 seeds are Arizona, Florida, Kansas and Wichita State.  Wisconsin is .002 behind that group (a small margin).  By math, Villanova is locked into the No. 2 seed line.  Michigan, Syracuse and Virginia are close behind.
  • The best win of the day went to UConn (.82 at Memphis) partly because it was a true road game.  Other top wins included Seton Hall (.73 vs. Villanova), UCLA (.65 vs. Oregon), Southern Miss (.65 at UTEP, also a true road game), Cal Poly (.62 vs. UC-Santa Barbara) and Baylor (.59 vs. Oklahoma).
  • The cut line is still in a state of flux, mostly over the Conference USA and MAC automatic qualifiers and any “bid stealers” that still may be forthcoming.  Teams just outside the mathematical cut line who are done playing can move back into the field as teams just inside the cut line lose.  Remember, all 36 at-large teams will end their season with a loss.

#KPI NCAA Tournament Field of 68 (as of March 14, 10 a.m. ET): Automatic bids from the 32 conferences are determined by the top remaining seed if the AQ has not already been decided.  This list is comprised purely by math with no scrubbing. Conference tournament brackets are linked below.

  1. PAC-12 / #1 Arizona (29-3, 16-3 Pac-12), .369 / Best Win: at San Diego State .98
  2. SEC / #2 Florida (29-2, 18-0 SEC), .334 / Best Win: at Kentucky .80
  3. BIG 12 / #3 Kansas (24-8, 15-4 Big 12), .326 / Best Win: at Iowa State .84
  4. MVC / #4 Wichita State (34-0, 21-0 MVC), .321 / Best Win: at Saint Louis .90
  5. #5 Wisconsin (25-6, 12-6 Big Ten), .319 / Best Win: at Virginia .94
  6. #6 Villanova (28-4, 16-3 Big East), .299 / Best Win: at Saint Joseph’s .81
  7. BIG TEN / #7 Michigan (23-7, 15-3 Big Ten), .282 / Best Win: at Wisconsin .91
  8. #8 Syracuse (27-4, 14-4 ACC), .275 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .76
  9. ACC / #9 Virginia (25-6, 16-2 ACC), .268 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .77
  10. BIG EAST / #10 Creighton (25-6, 15-4 Big East), .265 / Best Win: at Villanova 1.07
  11. #11 Duke (24-7, 13-5 ACC), .259 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .82
  12. MOUNTAIN WEST / #12 San Diego State (27-3, 16-2 Mountain West), .251 / Best Win: at Kansas .86
  13. #13 New Mexico (25-6, 16-3 Mountain West), .246 / Best Win: at New Mexico State .74
  14. #14 VCU (24-7, 12-4 A-10), .244 / Best Win: at Virginia .87
  15. ATLANTIC 10 / #15 Saint Louis (26-5, 13-3 A-10), .243 / Best Win: at Massachusetts .81
  16. #16 Louisville (27-5, 16-3 American), .243 / Best Win: at Cincinnati .87
  17. #17 Iowa State (24-7, 12-7 Big 12), .243 / Best Win: at BYU .69
  18. #18 Massachusetts (24-7, 11-6 A-10), .241 / Best Win: at George Washington .80
  19. AMERICAN / #19 Cincinnati (27-5, 16-3 American), .241 / Best Win: at Louisville .89
  20. #20 Ohio State (24-8, 11-8 Big Ten), .237 / Best Win: at Wisconsin .87
  21. #21 Michigan State (23-8, 12-6 Big Ten), .232 / Best Win: at Texas .77
  22. #22 UCLA (24-8, 13-6 Pac-12), .230 / Best Win: at Colorado .76
  23. #23 North Carolina (23-8, 13-5 ACC), .228 / Best Win: at Michigan State .85
  24. WCC / #24 Gonzaga (28-6, 18-3 WCC), .228 / Best Win: at St. Mary’s-CA .78
  25. #25 Kentucky (22-9, 12-6 SEC), .221 / Best Win: at Missouri .68
  26. #26 Connecticut (25-7, 13-6 American), .220 / Best Win: at Memphis .82
  27. #27 Oklahoma (23-9, 12-7 Big 12), .215 / Best Win: at Texas .73
  28. #28 Oregon (23-9, 11-9 Pac-12), .214 / Best Win: at UCLA .79
  29. #29 Texas (23-9, 12-7 Big 12), .207 / Best Win: at North Carolina .77
  30. #30 Baylor (23-10, 11-9 Big 12), .202 / Best Win: at Oklahoma State .66
  31. #31 George Washington (23-7, 11-5 A-10), .199 / Best Win: at Manhattan .78
  32. #32 Dayton (23-9, 11-6 A-10), .197 / Best Win: at Saint Louis .90
  33. SUMMIT / #33 North Dakota State (25-6, 14-2 Summit), .194 / Best Win: at Western Michigan .67
  34. #34 Southern Miss (27-5, 14-3 C-USA), .191 / Best Win: at North Dakota State .82
  35. IVY / #35 Harvard (26-4, 13-1 Ivy), .187 / Best Win: at Boston U. .71
  36. #36 Pittsburgh (24-8, 12-7 ACC), .187 / Best Win: at N.C. State .63
  37. #37 Colorado (23-10, 12-8 Pac-12), .182 / Best Win: at Stanford .68
  38. #38 Stanford (21-11, 12-8 Pac-12), .180 / Best Win: at Connecticut .81
  39. #39 BYU (23-11, 15-6 WCC), .179 / Best Win: at Stanford .69
  40. #40 Toledo (26-5, 14-4 MAC), .177 / Best Win: at Akron .64
  41. #41 Saint Joseph’s (21-9, 11-5 A-10), .172 / Best Win: at Dayton .73
  42. SOUTHLAND / #42 Stephen F. Austin (29-2, 18-0 Southland), .171 / Best Win: at Sam Houston State .66
  43. #43 Memphis (23-9, 12-7 American), .170 / Best Win: at Louisville .91
  44. #44 Oklahoma State (21-12, 9-11 Big 12), .168 / Best Win: vs. Louisiana Tech .69
  45. #45 Green Bay (24-6, 14-3 Horizon), .160 / Best Win: at Cleveland State .67
  46. #46 Nebraska (19-11, 11-7 Big Ten), .160 / Best Win: at Michigan State .83
  47. #47 Arizona State (21-11, 10-9 Pac-12), .157 / Best Win: vs. Arizona .65
  48. #48 Kansas State (20-12, 10-9 Big 12), .156 / Best Win: vs. Gonzaga .71
  49. #49 Tennessee (20-11, 11-7 SEC), .155 / Best Win: vs. Virginia .68
  50. #50 Florida State (19-12, 10-9 ACC), .149 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .77
  51. CONFERENCE USA / #55 Louisiana Tech (26-6, 14-3 C-USA), .149 / Best Win: at Oklahoma .75
  52. MAAC / #65 Manhattan (25-7, 18-5 MAAC), .129 / Best Win: at Canisius .55
  53. SUN BELT / #70 Georgia State (24-7, 17-1 Sun Belt), .114 / Best Win: at Western Kentucky .63
  54. COLONIAL / #76 Delaware (25-9, 17-2 Colonial), .108 / Best Win: at William & Mary .55
  55. MAC / #80 Western Michigan (21-9, 14-4 MAC), .103 / Best Win: at Ohio .67
  56. ATLANTIC SUN / #83 Mercer (26-8, 17-4 Atlantic Sun), .100 / Best Win: at Florida Gulf Coast .53
  57. OHIO VALLEY / #90 Eastern Kentucky (24-9, 14-5 OVC), .089 / Best Win: at IPFW .69
  58. BIG WEST / #99 UC-Irvine (23-10, 14-3 Big West), .074 / Best Win: at Hawaii .50
  59. MEAC / #104 North Carolina Central (26-5, 16-1 MEAC), .068 / Best Win: at N.C. State .61
  60. PATRIOT / #125 American (20-12, 16-5 Patriot), .047 / Best Win: at Boston U. .79
  61. HORIZON / #133 Milwaukee (21-13, 11-9 Horizon), .041 / Best Win: at Green Bay .82
  62. SOUTHERN / #147 Wofford (20-12, 14-5 Southern), .026 / Best Win: vs. Winthrop .48
  63. WAC / #152 Utah Valley (20-10, 14-3 WAC), .024 / Best Win: New Mexico State .45
  64. AMERICA EAST / #162 Stony Brook (23-9, 15-3 America East), .010 / Best Win: vs. Vermont .39
  65. BIG SOUTH / #163 Coastal Carolina (21-12, 14-5 Big South), .009 / Best Win: at Radford .46
  66. BIG SKY / #165 Weber State (17-11, 14-6 Big Sky), .009 / Best Win: North Dakota .32
  67. NORTHEAST / #232 Mount St. Mary’s (16-16, 12-7 Northeast), -.051 / Best Win: at Robert Morris .55
  68. SWAC / #250 Texas Southern (17-14, 13-6 SWAC), -.065 / Best Win; at Southern U. .46

#KPI NIT Tournament Field of 32 (as of March 14, 10 a.m. ET): Automatic bids are awarded to teams who won their regular season conference title, but did not win their conference tournament.

  1. OHIO VALLEY / #51 Belmont (24-9, 15-3 OVC), .153 / Best Win: at Middle Tennessee .80
  2. #52 California (19-13, 10-9 Pac-12), .151 / Best Win: at Oregon .79
  3. #53 Missouri (22-10, 10-9 SEC), .151 / Best Win: at Arkansas .61
  4. #54 Iowa (20-12, 9-10 Big Ten), .151 / Best Win: at Ohio State .82
  5. #56 Xavier (21-11, 11-8 Big East), .149 / Best Win: vs. Cincinnati .79
  6. #57 Illinois (19-13, 8-11 Big Ten), .147 / Best Win: at Michigan State .83
  7. #58 Minnesota (20-12, 9-10 Big Ten), .146 / Best Win: vs. Wisconsin .62
  8. #59 Providence (21-11, 11-8 Big East), .145 / Best Win: vs. Creighton .60
  9. #60 N.C. State (20-12, 10-9 ACC), .139 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .78
  10. #61 SMU (23-9, 12-7 American), .139 / Best Win: at Connecticut .86
  11. #62 Arkansas (21-11, 10-9 SEC), .132 / Best Win: at Kentucky .76
  12. #63 St. Mary’s-CA (22-11, 12-8 WCC), .132 / Best Win: at Boise State .60
  13. #64 St. John’s (20-12, 10-9 Big East), .130 / Best Win: at Providence .67
  14. #66 Middle Tennessee (24-8, 14-3 C-USA), .126 / Best Win: vs. Southern Miss .62
  15. #67 Ohio (23-11, 13-8 MAC), .124 / Best Win: at Akron .66
  16. #68 Clemson (20-11, 11-8 ACC), .119 / Best Win: at Florida State .62
  17. #69 Georgetown (17-14, 8-11 Big East), .115 / Best Win: vs. VCU .65
  18. #71 New Mexico State (24-9, 13-4 WAC), .113 / Best Win: at New Mexico .88
  19. MAAC / #72 Iona (22-10, 19-4 MAAC), .111 / Best Win: at Florida Gulf Coast .55
  20. #73 San Francisco (21-11, 14-6 WCC), .110 / Best Win: vs. St. Mary’s-CA .42
  21. #74 Richmond (19-13, 9-8 A-10), .109 / Best Win: at William & Mary .54
  22. #75 Utah (21-11, 10-10 Pac-12), .108 / Best Win: at California .56
  23. #77 LSU (19-12, 10-9 SEC), .108 / Best Win: vs. Saint Joseph’s .59
  24. #78 Akron (21-11, 13-6 MAC), .108 / Best Win: at Cleveland State .66
  25. #79 Georgia (18-12, 12-6 SEC), .104 / Best Win: at Missouri .69
  26. #81 Cleveland State (21-11, 12-5 Horizon), .102 / Best Win: at Milwaukee .61
  27. PATRIOT / #88 Boston U. (24-10, 17-4 Patriot), .096 / Best Win: vs. UC-Irvine .66
  28. AMERICA EAST / #111 Vermont (22-10, 16-2 America East), .062 / Best Win: vs. Yale .41
  29. SOUTHERN / #127 Davidson (20-12, 16-2 Southern), .044 / Best Win: at Wofford .56
  30. NORTHEAST / #149 Robert Morris (21-13, 16-3 Northeast), .024 / Best Win: vs. St. Francis-NY .46
  31. ATLANTIC SUN / #151 Florida Gulf Coast (22-12, 16-5 Atlantic Sun), .024 / Best Win: at Mercer .49
  32. BIG SOUTH / #166 High Point (16-14, 12-5 Big South), .009 / Best Win: at William & Mary .54

#KPI Top Games for Friday, March 14:

  1. #17 Iowa State vs. #3 Kansas (Friday 7 p.m. ET, ESPNU)
  2. #37 Colorado vs. #1 Arizona (Friday 9 p.m. ET, Pac-12 Network)
  3. #26 Connecticut vs. #19 Cincinnati (Friday 9:30 p.m. ET, ESPN2)
  4. #18 Massachusetts vs. #31 George Washington (Friday 9 p.m. ET, NBC Sports Network)
  5. #53 Missouri vs. #2 Florida (Friday 1 p.m. ET, ESPNU)
  6. #50 Florida State vs. #9 Virginia (Friday 12 p.m. ET, ESPN2)
  7. #36 Pittsburgh vs. #23 North Carolina (Friday 2:30 p.m. ET, ESPN2)
  8. #30 Baylor vs. #29 Texas (Friday 9:30 p.m. ET, ESPNU)
  9. #38 Stanford vs. #22 UCLA (Friday 11:30 p.m. ET, FOX Sports 1)
  10. #58 Minnesota vs. #5 Wisconsin (Friday 6:30 p.m. ET, BTN)

Notes on Rule ChangesNote that any discrepancy between #KPI and NCAA data is how games against Non Division-I schools are counted (approximately 3.8% of the data)

This is the #KPI

Posted in #KPI, #KPI Update | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

WEEK 18 THURSDAY #KPI BASKETBALL (as of 3/12/14)

#KPI Headlines:

  • #KPI Excel resumes ranked by #KPI value per game (through March 12), #KPI by Team (through March 12) and #KPI by Conference (through March 12).  Notes on Rule Changes are also available. Note the discrepancy between #KPI and NCAA data is how games against Non D-I schools are counted (3.9% of the data).
  • Including Green Bay and Belmont, there are nine teams who have automatic bids to the NIT should they not qualify for an at-large NCAA bid.  From 2007-10, an average of 7.3 NIT bids were earned this way.  Since 2011, an average of 11.7 NIT bids came from AQs.  As a result, the cut line for NIT bids is currently #KPI No. 80.
  • Scoring in Week 19 (March 10-16) is at a season-low of 66.5 PPG.  The previous weekly low was 68.9 PPG (January 13-19).  Conference tournament scoring also trended down in 2012-13 (65.3 PPG compared to 67.5 PPG during the full season).

#KPI offensive, defensive and overall production numbers are part of the “By Team” #KPI file. Offensive and defensive production is calculated as the difference between a team’s offensive/defensive points per possession when compared to what each of their opponent allows.  Total production is the sum of offense (50%) and defense (50%):

#KPI NCAA Tournament Field of 68 and #KPI Excel Resumes (through March 12): Automatic bids from the 32 conferences are determined by the top remaining seed if the AQ has not already been decided.  This list is comprised purely by math with no scrubbing. Conference tournament brackets are linked below.

  1. PAC-12 / #1 Arizona (28-3, 15-3 Pac-12), .363 / Best Win: at San Diego State .97
  2. SEC / #2 Florida (29-2, 18-0 SEC), .334 / Best Win: at Kentucky .79
  3. BIG 12 / #3 Kansas (23-8, 14-4 Big 12), .324 / Best Win: at Iowa State .83
  4. #4 Wisconsin (25-6, 12-6 Big Ten), .323 / Best Win: at Virginia .94
  5. MVC / #5 Wichita State (34-0, 21-0 MVC), .322 / Best Win: at Saint Louis .90
  6. BIG EAST / #6 Villanova (28-3, 16-2 Big East), .316 / Best Win: at Saint Joseph’s .82
  7. BIG TEN / #7 Michigan (23-7, 15-3 Big Ten), .282 / Best Win: at Wisconsin .91
  8. #8 Syracuse (27-4, 14-4 ACC), .278 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .74
  9. #9 Creighton (24-6, 14-4 Big East), .271 / Best Win: at Villanova 1.09
  10. ACC / #10 Virginia (25-6, 16-2 ACC), .268 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .75
  11. #11 Duke (24-7, 13-5 ACC), .261 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .81
  12. #12 Louisville (26-5, 15-3 American), .247 / Best Win: at Cincinnati .87
  13. #13 New Mexico (24-6, 15-3 Mountain West), .246 / Best Win: at New Mexico State .73
  14. MOUNTAIN WEST / #14 San Diego State (27-3, 16-2 Mountain West), .246 / Best Win: at Kansas .86
  15. ATLANTIC 10 / #15 Saint Louis (26-5, 13-3 A-10), .246 / Best Win: at Massachusetts .81
  16. AMERICAN / #16 Cincinnati (26-5, 15-3 American), .244 / Best Win: at Louisville .89
  17. #17 VCU (24-7, 12-4 A-10), .244 / Best Win: at Virginia .87
  18. #18 Ohio State (23-8, 10-8 Big Ten), .243 / Best Win: at Wisconsin .88
  19. #19 Massachusetts (23-7, 10-6 A-10), .243 / Best Win: at George Washington .81
  20. #20 Iowa State (23-7, 11-7 Big 12), .238 / Best Win: at BYU .69
  21. #21 Michigan State (23-8, 12-6 Big Ten), .236 / Best Win: at Texas .76
  22. WCC / #22 Gonzaga (28-6, 18-3 WCC), .229 / Best Win: at St. Mary’s-CA .77
  23. #23 North Carolina (23-8, 13-5 ACC), .228 / Best Win: at Michigan State .85
  24. #24 Oklahoma (23-8, 12-6 Big 12), .225 / Best Win: at Texas .72
  25. #25 UCLA (23-8, 12-6 Pac-12), .221 / Best Win: at Oregon .77
  26. #26 Oregon (23-8, 11-8 Pac-12), .220 / Best Win: at UCLA .77
  27. #27 Kentucky (22-9, 12-6 SEC), .218 / Best Win: at Missouri .66
  28. #28 Texas (22-9, 11-7 Big 12), .204 / Best Win: at North Carolina .77
  29. #29 Dayton (22-9, 10-6 A-10), .203 / Best Win: at Saint Louis .90
  30. #30 Connecticut (24-7, 12-6 American), .202 / Best Win: at Memphis .79
  31. #31 George Washington (23-7, 11-5 A-10), .202 / Best Win: at Manhattan .78
  32. #32 Baylor (22-10, 10-9 Big 12), .193 / Best Win: at Oklahoma State .69
  33. SUMMIT / #33 North Dakota State (25-6, 14-2 Summit), .192 / Best Win: at Western Michigan .66
  34. IVY / #34 Harvard (26-4, 13-1 Ivy), .185 / Best Win: at Boston U. .70
  35. #35 Pittsburgh (23-8, 11-7 ACC), .183 / Best Win: at N.C. State .61
  36. #36 Southern Miss (26-5, 13-3 C-USA), .180 / Best Win: at North Dakota State .82
  37. #37 BYU (23-11, 15-6 WCC), .179 / Best Win: at Stanford .66
  38. #38 Colorado (22-10, 11-8 Pac-12), .178 / Best Win: at Stanford .65
  39. #39 Memphis (23-8, 12-6 American), .177 / Best Win: at Louisville .91
  40. #40 Toledo (26-5, 14-4 MAC), .177 / Best Win: at Akron .61
  41. #41 Oklahoma State (21-11, 9-10 Big 12), .176 / Best Win: vs. Louisiana Tech .69
  42. #42 Saint Joseph’s (21-9, 11-5 A-10), .173 / Best Win: at Dayton .73
  43. SOUTHLAND / #43 Stephen F. Austin (29-2, 18-0 Southland), .168 / Best Win: at Sam Houston State .64
  44. #44 Stanford (20-11, 11-8 Pac-12), .168 / Best Win: at Connecticut .80
  45. #45 Iowa (20-11, 9-9 Big Ten), .167 / Best Win: at Ohio State .82
  46. #46 Arizona State (21-10, 10-8 Pac-12), .166 / Best Win: vs. Arizona .65
  47. #47 Kansas State (20-11, 10-8 Big 12), .163 / Best Win: vs. Gonzaga .72
  48. #48 Nebraska (19-11, 11-7 Big Ten), .162 / Best Win: at Michigan State .83
  49. #49 Green Bay (24-6, 14-3 Horizon), .160 / Best Win: at Cleveland State .67
  50. #50 California (19-12, 10-8 Pac-12), .160 / Best Win: at Oregon .81
  51. CONFERENCE USA / #59 Louisiana Tech (25-6, 13-3 C-USA), .144 / Best Win: at Oklahoma .77
  52. MAAC / #64 Manhattan (25-7, 18-5 MAAC), .131 / Best Win: at Canisius .56
  53. SUN BELT / #71 Georgia State (24-7, 17-1 Sun Belt), .114 / Best Win: at Western Kentucky .63
  54. COLONIAL / #78 Delaware (25-9, 17-2 Colonial), .105 / Best Win: at William & Mary .56
  55. MAC / #81 Western Michigan (21-9, 14-4 MAC), .102 / Best Win: at Ohio .70
  56. ATLANTIC SUN / #85 Mercer (26-8, 17-4 Atlantic Sun), .099 / Best Win: at Florida Gulf Coast .53
  57. OHIO VALLEY / #91 Eastern Kentucky (24-9, 14-5 OVC), .088 / Best Win: at IPFW .69
  58. BIG WEST / #100 UC-Irvine (22-10, 13-3 Big West), .076 / Best Win: at Hawaii .53
  59. MEAC / #109 North Carolina Central (26-5, 16-1 MEAC), .068 / Best Win: at N.C. State .59
  60. PATRIOT / #128 American (20-12, 16-5 Patriot), .045 / Best Win: at Boston U. .79
  61. HORIZON / #134 Milwaukee (21-13, 11-9 Horizon), .041 / Best Win: at Green Bay .82
  62. SOUTHERN / #148 Wofford (20-12, 14-5 Southern), .025 / Best Win: vs. Winthrop .48
  63. WAC / #149 Utah Valley (19-10, 13-3 WAC), .025 / Best Win: New Mexico State .44
  64. AMERICA EAST / #160 Stony Brook (23-9, 15-3 America East), .011 / Best Win: vs. Vermont .38
  65. BIG SKY / #165 Weber State (17-11, 14-6 Big Sky), .008 / Best Win: North Dakota .29
  66. BIG SOUTH / #169 Coastal Carolina (21-12, 14-5 Big South), .007 / Best Win: at Radford .46
  67. NORTHEAST / #230 Mount St. Mary’s (16-16, 12-7 Northeast), -.051 / Best Win: at Robert Morris .56
  68. SWAC / #251 Texas Southern (17-14, 13-6 SWAC), -.067 / Best Win; at Southern U. .46

#KPI NIT Tournament Field of 32 and #KPI Excel Resumes (through March 12): Automatic bids are awarded to teams who won their regular season conference title, but did not win their conference tournament.

  1. (NIT 1) #51 Tennessee (20-11, 11-7 SEC), .156 / Best Win: vs. Virginia .69
  2. (NIT 1) #52 SMU (23-8, 12-6 American), .153 / Best Win: at Connecticut .85
  3. (NIT 1) #53 Florida State (18-12, 9-9 ACC), .151 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .76
  4. (NIT 1) OHIO VALLEY / #54 Belmont (24-9, 15-3 OVC), .151 / Best Win: at Middle Tennessee .78
  5. (NIT 2) #55 Missouri (21-10, 9-9 SEC), .150 / Best Win: at Arkansas .66
  6. (NIT 2) #56 Arkansas (21-10, 10-8 SEC), .147 / Best Win: at Kentucky .76
  7. (NIT 2) #57 Minnesota (19-12, 8-10 Big Ten), .145 / Best Win: vs. Wisconsin .62
  8. (NIT 2) #58 Xavier (20-11, 10-8 Big East), .144 / Best Win: vs. Cincinnati .79
  9. (NIT 3) #60 Illinois (18-13, 7-11 Big Ten), .144 / Best Win: at Michigan State .83
  10. (NIT 3) #61 St. John’s (20-11, 10-8 Big East), .136 / Best Win: at Providence .63
  11. (NIT 3) #62 N.C. State (19-12, 9-9 ACC), .134 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .77
  12. (NIT 3) #63 Providence (20-11, 10-8 Big East), .132 / Best Win: at St. John’s .60
  13. (NIT 4) #65 St. Mary’s-CA (22-11, 12-8 WCC), .130 / Best Win: at Boise State .58
  14. (NIT 4) #66 Ohio (23-10, 13-7 MAC), .129 / Best Win: at Akron .63
  15. (NIT 4) #67 Middle Tennessee (23-8, 13-3 C-USA), .123 / Best Win: vs. Southern Miss .61
  16. (NIT 4) #68 Clemson (19-11, 10-8 ACC), .116 / Best Win: at Florida State .59
  17. (NIT 5) #69 New Mexico State (23-9, 12-4 WAC), .116 / Best Win: at New Mexico .87
  18. (NIT 5) #70 Georgetown (17-14, 8-11 Big East), .130 / Best Win: vs. VCU .65
  19. (NIT 5) #72 Utah (21-10, 10-9 Pac-12), .113 / Best Win: at California .59
  20. (NIT 5) #73 San Francisco (21-11, 14-6 WCC), .112 / Best Win: vs. Montana .43
  21. (NIT 6) MAAC / #74 Iona (22-10, 19-4 MAAC), .112 / Best Win: at Florida Gulf Coast .55
  22. (NIT 6) #75 West Virginia (17-14, 9-9 Big 12), .109 / Best Win: at Baylor .69
  23. (NIT 6) #76 Richmond (18-13, 8-8 A-10), .109 / Best Win: at William & Mary .55
  24. (NIT 6) #77 LSU (18-12, 9-9 SEC), .107 / Best Win: vs. Saint Joseph’s .60
  25. (NIT 7) #79 Maryland (17-14, 9-9 ACC), .104 / Best Win: vs. Virginia .57
  26. (NIT 7) #80 Georgia (18-12, 12-6 SEC), .104 / Best Win: at Missouri .67
  27. (NIT 7) PATRIOT / #89 Boston U. (24-10, 17-4 Patriot), .094 / Best Win: vs. UC-Irvine .64
  28. (NIT 7) AMERICA EAST / #111 Vermont (22-10, 16-2 America East), .062 / Best Win: vs. Yale .41
  29. (NIT 8) SOUTHERN / #129 Davidson (20-12, 16-2 Southern), .044 / Best Win: at Wofford .56
  30. (NIT 8) NORTHEAST / #147 Robert Morris (21-13, 16-3 Northeast), .025 / Best Win: vs. St. Francis-NY .45
  31. (NIT 8) ATLANTIC SUN / #150 Florida Gulf Coast (22-12, 16-5 Atlantic Sun), .024 / Best Win: at Mercer .49
  32. (NIT 8) BIG SOUTH / #166 High Point (16-14, 12-5 Big South), .008 / Best Win: at William & Mary .54

#KPI Top Games for Thursday, March 13:

  1. #41 Oklahoma State vs. #3 Kansas (Thursday 3 p.m. ET, ESPN2)
  2. #26 Oregon vs. #25 UCLA (Thursday 9 p.m. ET, Pac-12 Network)
  3. #32 Baylor vs. #24 Oklahoma (Thursday 7 p.m. ET, ESPN Full Court/Big 12 Network)
  4. #47 Kansas State vs. #20 Iowa State (Thursday 12:30 p.m. ET, ESPN2)
  5. #30 Connecticut at #39 Memphis (Thursday 9:30 p.m. ET, ESPNU)
  6. #72 Utah vs. #1 Arizona (Thursday 3 p.m. ET, Pac-12 Network)
  7. #38 Colorado vs. #50 California (Thursday 5:30 p.m. ET, Pac-12 Network)
  8. #44 Stanford vs. #46 Arizona State (Thursday 11:30 p.m. ET, FOX Sports 1)
  9. #75 West Virginia vs. #28 Texas (Thursday 9:30 p.m. ET, ESPN Full Court/Big 12 Network)
  10. #104 Utah State vs. #14 San Diego State (Thursday 3 p.m. ET, CBS Sports Network)

Notes on Rule ChangesNote that any discrepancy between #KPI and NCAA data is how games against Non Division-I schools are counted (approximately 3.9% of the data)

This is the #KPI

Posted in #KPI, #KPI Update | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

WEEK 18 WEDNESDAY #KPI BASKETBALL (as of 3/11/14)

#KPI Headlines:

  • #KPI Excel resumes ranked by #KPI value per game (through March 11), #KPI by Team (through March 11) and #KPI by Conference (through March 11).  Notes on Rule Changes are also available. Note the discrepancy between #KPI and NCAA data is how games against Non D-I schools are counted (3.9% of the data)
  • Though early, scoring in conference tournament play is at 69.07 PPG, down slightly (0.10%) from the 69.15 PPG averaged during regular season conference play.  In 2012-13, teams averaged 66.7 PPG during regular season conference play and 65.3 PPG in conference tournament action.
  • The #KPI math currently matches 64/68 teams in the bracket averages at bracketmatrix.com with an average seed difference of 1.00.  28 teams match seed lines and 47 are within 1 seed line.  Two of the four teams different are a result of how the MAC and Conference USA AQs are currently being identified.
  • Assuming Milwaukee doesn’t become a 12 seed or higher (currently projected a 15 seed), they cannot play in Milwaukee.  Marquette is the host school, but the bracketing principles include that “the committee shall not place teams seeded on the first four lines at a potential ‘home-crowd disadvantage’ in the second round.”
  • Barring significant upsets in other conference tournaments, pencil Mount St. Mary’s and the SWAC AQ into Dayton as 16 seed first round games.

#KPI NCAA Tournament Field of 68 (through March 11): Automatic bids from the 32 conferences are determined by the top remaining seed if the AQ has not already been decided.  This list is comprised purely by math with no scrubbing. Conference tournament brackets are linked below.

  1. PAC-12 / #1 Arizona (28-3, 15-3 Pac-12), .365 / Best Win: at San Diego State .98
  2. SEC / #2 Florida (29-2, 18-0 SEC), .335 / Best Win: at Kentucky .79
  3. BIG 12 / #3 Kansas (23-8, 14-4 Big 12), .325 / Best Win: at Iowa State .83
  4. #4 Wisconsin (25-6, 12-6 Big Ten), .322 / Best Win: at Virginia .94
  5. MVC / #5 Wichita State (34-0, 21-0 MVC), .320 / Best Win: at Saint Louis .90
  6. BIG EAST / #6 Villanova (28-3, 16-2 Big East), .317 / Best Win: at Saint Joseph’s .82
  7. BIG TEN / #7 Michigan (23-7, 15-3 Big Ten), .281 / Best Win: at Wisconsin .91
  8. #8 Syracuse (27-4, 14-4 ACC), .276 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .74
  9. #9 Creighton (24-6, 14-4 Big East), .270 / Best Win: at Villanova 1.09
  10. ACC / #10 Virginia (25-6, 16-2 ACC), .269 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .75
  11. #11 Duke (24-7, 13-5 ACC), .258 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .81
  12. ATLANTIC 10 / #12 Saint Louis (26-5, 13-3 A-10), .247 / Best Win: at Massachusetts .81
  13. #13 New Mexico (24-6, 15-3 Mountain West), .247 / Best Win: at New Mexico State .73
  14. #14 Louisville (26-5, 15-3 American), .246 / Best Win: at Cincinnati .87
  15. MOUNTAIN WEST / #15 San Diego State (27-3, 16-2 Mountain West), .246 / Best Win: at Kansas .86
  16. AMERICAN / #16 Cincinnati (26-5, 15-3 American), .243 / Best Win: at Louisville .89
  17. #17 Massachusetts (23-7, 10-6 A-10), .243 / Best Win: at George Washington .81
  18. #18 VCU (24-7, 12-4 A-10), .243 / Best Win: at Virginia .87
  19. #19 Ohio State (23-8, 10-8 Big Ten), .243 / Best Win: at Wisconsin .88
  20. #20 Iowa State (23-7, 11-7 Big 12), .240 / Best Win: at BYU .69
  21. #21 Michigan State (23-8, 12-6 Big Ten), .237 / Best Win: at Texas .76
  22. WCC / #22 Gonzaga (28-6, 18-3 WCC), .229 / Best Win: at St. Mary’s-CA .77
  23. #23 North Carolina (23-8, 13-5 ACC), .229 / Best Win: at Michigan State .85
  24. #24 Oklahoma (23-8, 12-6 Big 12), .226 / Best Win: at Texas .72
  25. #25 UCLA (23-8, 12-6 Pac-12), .222 / Best Win: at Oregon .76
  26. #26 Oregon (22-8, 10-8 Pac-12), .220 / Best Win: at UCLA .77
  27. #27 Kentucky (22-9, 12-6 SEC), .218 / Best Win: at Missouri .67
  28. #28 Texas (22-9, 11-7 Big 12), .205 / Best Win: at North Carolina .77
  29. #29 Connecticut (24-7, 12-6 American), .204 / Best Win: at Memphis .79
  30. #30 Dayton (22-9, 10-6 A-10), .202 / Best Win: at Saint Louis .90
  31. #31 George Washington (23-7, 11-5 A-10), .201 / Best Win: at Manhattan .78
  32. #32 Baylor (21-10, 9-9 Big 12), .198 / Best Win: at Oklahoma State .67
  33. SUMMIT / #33 North Dakota State (25-6, 14-2 Summit), .193 / Best Win: at Western Michigan .66
  34. IVY / #34 Harvard (26-4, 13-1 Ivy), .186 / Best Win: at Boston U. .74
  35. #35 Pittsburgh (23-8, 11-7 ACC), .183 / Best Win: at N.C. State .61
  36. #36 Colorado (21-10, 10-8 Pac-12), .183 / Best Win: at Stanford .64
  37. #37 BYU (23-11, 15-6 WCC), .178 / Best Win: at Stanford .65
  38. #38 Southern Miss (26-5, 13-3 C-USA), .177 / Best Win: at North Dakota State .82
  39. #39 Toledo (26-5, 14-4 MAC), .176 / Best Win: at Akron .61
  40. #40 Oklahoma State (20-11, 8-10 Big 12), .176 / Best Win: vs. Louisiana Tech .69
  41. #41 Memphis (23-8, 12-6 American), .175 / Best Win: at Louisville .91
  42. #42 Saint Joseph’s (21-9, 11-5 A-10), .174 / Best Win: at Dayton .73
  43. #43 Stanford (19-11, 10-8 Pac-12), .173 / Best Win: at Connecticut .80
  44. SOUTHLAND / #44 Stephen F. Austin (29-2, 18-0 Southland), .169 / Best Win: at Sam Houston State .64
  45. #45 Arizona State (21-10, 10-8 Pac-12), .167 / Best Win: vs. Arizona .65
  46. #46 Iowa (20-11, 9-9 Big Ten), .166 / Best Win: at Ohio State .82
  47. #47 Kansas State (20-11, 10-8 Big 12), .163 / Best Win: vs. Gonzaga .72
  48. #48 Nebraska (19-11, 11-7 Big Ten), .162 / Best Win: at Michigan State .83
  49. #49 California (19-12, 10-8 Pac-12), .161 / Best Win: at Oregon .80
  50. #50 Green Bay (24-6, 14-3 Horizon), .160 / Best Win: at Cleveland State .67
  51. CONFERENCE USA / #58 Louisiana Tech (25-6, 13-3 C-USA), .145 / Best Win: at Oklahoma .77
  52. MAAC / #65 Manhattan (25-7, 18-5 MAAC), .129 / Best Win: at Canisius .56
  53. SUN BELT / #70 Georgia State (24-7, 17-1 Sun Belt), .115 / Best Win: at Western Kentucky .63
  54. COLONIAL / #77 Delaware (25-9, 17-2 Colonial), .107 / Best Win: at William & Mary .56
  55. PATRIOT / #81 Boston U. (24-9, 17-3 Patriot), .102 / Best Win: vs. UC-Irvine .64
  56. MAC / #82 Western Michigan (21-9, 14-4 MAC), .101 / Best Win: at Ohio .69
  57. ATLANTIC SUN / #87 Mercer (26-8, 17-4 Atlantic Sun), .098 / Best Win: at Florida Gulf Coast .53
  58. OHIO VALLEY / #92 Eastern Kentucky (24-9, 14-5 OVC), .088 / Best Win: at IPFW .69
  59. BIG WEST / #99 UC-Irvine (22-10, 13-3 Big West), .076 / Best Win: at Hawaii .54
  60. MEAC / #107 North Carolina Central (25-5, 15-1 MEAC), .069 / Best Win: at N.C. State .60
  61. HORIZON / #133 Milwaukee (21-13, 11-9 Horizon), .040 / Best Win: at Green Bay .82
  62. SOUTHERN / #145 Wofford (20-12, 14-5 Southern), .024 / Best Win: vs. Winthrop .48
  63. WAC / #148 Utah Valley (19-10, 13-3 WAC), .023 / Best Win: New Mexico State .44
  64. AMERICA EAST / #161 Stony Brook (23-9, 15-3 America East), .010 / Best Win: vs. Vermont .38
  65. BIG SKY / #166 Weber State (17-11, 14-6 Big Sky), .008 / Best Win: North Dakota .29
  66. BIG SOUTH / #170 Coastal Carolina (21-12, 14-5 Big South), .007 / Best Win: at Radford .46
  67. NORTHEAST / #230 Mount St. Mary’s (16-16, 12-7 Northeast), -.051 / Best Win: at Robert Morris .56
  68. SWAC / #252 Texas Southern (16-14, 12-6 SWAC), -.068 / Best Win; at Southern U. .49

#KPI NIT Tournament Field of 32 (through March 11): Automatic bids are awarded to teams who won their regular season conference title, but did not win their conference tournament.

  1. (NIT 1) #51 Tennessee (20-11, 11-7 SEC), .157 / Best Win: vs. Virginia .69
  2. (NIT 1) #52 SMU (23-8, 12-6 American), .153 / Best Win: at Connecticut .85
  3. (NIT 1) #53 Missouri (21-10, 9-9 SEC), .152 / Best Win: at Arkansas .66
  4. (NIT 1) OHIO VALLEY / #54 Belmont (24-9, 15-3 OVC), .151 / Best Win: at Middle Tennessee .78
  5. (NIT 2) #55 Arkansas (21-10, 10-8 SEC), .148 / Best Win: at Kentucky .76
  6. (NIT 2) #56 Florida State (18-12, 9-9 ACC), .148 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .76
  7. (NIT 2) #58 Minnesota (19-12, 8-10 Big Ten), .145 / Best Win: vs. Wisconsin .62
  8. (NIT 2) #59 Illinois (18-13, 7-11 Big Ten), .144 / Best Win: at Michigan State .83
  9. (NIT 3) #60 Xavier (20-11, 10-8 Big East), .144 / Best Win: vs. Cincinnati .79
  10. (NIT 3) #61 St. John’s (20-11, 10-8 Big East), .135 / Best Win: at Providence .63
  11. (NIT 3) #62 N.C. State (19-12, 9-9 ACC), .132 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .77
  12. (NIT 3) #63 Providence (20-11, 10-8 Big East), .132 / Best Win: vs. Creighton .60
  13. (NIT 4) #64 Georgetown (17-13, 8-10 Big East), .130 / Best Win: vs. VCU .65
  14. (NIT 4) #66 St. Mary’s-CA (22-11, 12-8 WCC), .128 / Best Win: vs. North Dakota State .57
  15. (NIT 4) #67 Ohio (22-10, 12-7 MAC), .127 / Best Win: at Akron .63
  16. (NIT 4) #68 Middle Tennessee (23-8, 13-3 C-USA), .124 / Best Win: vs. Southern Miss .61
  17. (NIT 5) #69 Clemson (19-11, 10-8 ACC), .115 / Best Win: at Florida State .59
  18. (NIT 5) #71 New Mexico State (23-9, 12-4 WAC), .114 / Best Win: at New Mexico .87
  19. (NIT 5) #72 LSU (18-12, 9-9 SEC), .112 / Best Win: vs. Saint Joseph’s .59
  20. (NIT 5) MAAC / #73 Iona (22-10, 19-4 MAAC), .112 / Best Win: at Florida Gulf Coast .55
  21. (NIT 6) #74 San Francisco (21-11, 14-6 WCC), .110 / Best Win: vs. Montana .42
  22. (NIT 6) #75 West Virginia (17-14, 9-9 Big 12), .110 / Best Win: at Baylor .69
  23. (NIT 6) #76 Utah (20-10, 9-9 Pac-12), .108 / Best Win: at California .59
  24. (NIT 6) #77 Richmond (18-13, 8-8 A-10), .107 / Best Win: at William & Mary .55
  25. (NIT 7) #79 Maryland (17-14, 9-9 ACC), .105 / Best Win: vs. Virginia .57
  26. (NIT 7) #80 Georgia (18-12, 12-6 SEC), .104 / Best Win: at Missouri .67
  27. (NIT 7) #83 UTEP (22-9, 12-4 C-USA), .101 / Best Win: at Middle Tennessee .77
  28. (NIT 7) AMERICA EAST / #112 Vermont (22-10, 16-2 America East), .061 / Best Win: vs. Yale .41
  29. (NIT 8) SOUTHERN / #130 Davidson (20-12, 16-2 Southern), .042 / Best Win: at Wofford .56
  30. (NIT 8) NORTHEAST / #144 Robert Morris (21-13, 16-3 Northeast), .025 / Best Win: vs. St. Francis-NY .46
  31. (NIT 8) ATLANTIC SUN / #147 Florida Gulf Coast (22-12, 16-5 Atlantic Sun), .024 / Best Win: at Mercer .49
  32. (NIT 8) BIG SOUTH / #167 High Point (16-14, 12-5 Big South), .008 / Best Win: at William & Mary .54

#KPI Top Games for Wednesday, March 12:

  1. #104 Oregon State vs. #26 Oregon (Wednesday 9 p.m. ET, Pac-12 Network)
  2. #102 Texas Tech vs. #40 Oklahoma State (Wednesday 7 p.m. ET, ESPN Full Court/Big 12 Network)
  3. #91 Washington vs. #76 Utah (Wednesday 3 p.m. ET, Pac-12 Network)
  4. #163 USC vs. #36 Colorado (Wednesday 5:30 p.m. ET, Pac-12 Network)
  5. #146 American at #81 Boston U. (Wednesday 7:30 p.m. ET, CBS Sports Network)

Notes on Rule ChangesNote that any discrepancy between #KPI and NCAA data is how games against Non Division-I schools are counted (approximately 3.9% of the data)

This is the #KPI

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WEEK 18 TUESDAY #KPI BASKETBALL (as of 3/10/14)

#KPI Headlines:

#KPI NCAA Tournament Field of 68 (through March 10): Automatic bids from the 32 conferences are determined by the top remaining seed if the AQ has not already been decided.  This list is comprised purely by math with no scrubbing. Conference tournament brackets are linked below.

  1. PAC-12 / #1 Arizona (28-3, 15-3 Pac-12), .365 / Best Win: at San Diego State .98
  2. SEC / #2 Florida (29-2, 18-0 SEC), .335 / Best Win: at Kentucky .79
  3. BIG 12 / #3 Kansas (23-8, 14-4 Big 12), .325 / Best Win: at Iowa State .83
  4. #4 Wisconsin (25-6, 12-6 Big Ten), .321 / Best Win: at Virginia .95
  5. MVC / #5 Wichita State (34-0, 21-0 MVC), .320 / Best Win: at Saint Louis .90
  6. BIG EAST / #6 Villanova (28-3, 16-2 Big East), .316 / Best Win: at Saint Joseph’s .81
  7. BIG TEN / #7 Michigan (23-7, 15-3 Big Ten), .280 / Best Win: at Wisconsin .91
  8. #8 Syracuse (27-4, 14-4 ACC), .276 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .74
  9. #9 Creighton (24-6, 14-4 Big East), .271 / Best Win: at Villanova 1.09
  10. ACC / #10 Virginia (25-6, 16-2 ACC), .269 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .75
  11. #11 Duke (24-7, 13-5 ACC), .258 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .80
  12. ATLANTIC 10 / #12 Saint Louis (26-5, 13-3 A-10), .247 / Best Win: at Massachusetts .81
  13. #13 Louisville (26-5, 15-3 American), .246 / Best Win: at Cincinnati .87
  14. MOUNTAIN WEST / #14 San Diego State (27-3, 16-2 Mountain West), .246 / Best Win: at Kansas .86
  15. #15 New Mexico (24-6, 15-3 Mountain West), .246 / Best Win: at New Mexico State .72
  16. #17 Massachusetts (23-7, 10-6 A-10), .244 / Best Win: at George Washington .81
  17. AMERICAN / #16 Cincinnati (26-5, 15-3 American), .243 / Best Win: at Louisville .89
  18. #18 VCU (24-7, 12-4 A-10), .243 / Best Win: at Virginia .87
  19. #19 Ohio State (23-8, 10-8 Big Ten), .243 / Best Win: at Wisconsin .88
  20. #20 Iowa State (23-7, 11-7 Big 12), .241 / Best Win: at BYU .71
  21. #21 Michigan State (23-8, 12-6 Big Ten), .236 / Best Win: at Texas .77
  22. #22 North Carolina (23-8, 13-5 ACC), .229 / Best Win: at Michigan State .85
  23. #23 Oklahoma (23-8, 12-6 Big 12), .226 / Best Win: at Texas .72
  24. #24 UCLA (23-8, 12-6 Pac-12), .222 / Best Win: at Oregon .76
  25. #25 Oregon (22-8, 10-8 Pac-12), .220 / Best Win: at UCLA .77
  26. WCC / #26 Gonzaga (27-6, 17-3 WCC), .219 / Best Win: at St. Mary’s-CA .77
  27. #27 Kentucky (22-9, 12-6 SEC), .219 / Best Win: at Missouri .67
  28. #28 Texas (22-9, 11-7 Big 12), .205 / Best Win: at North Carolina .77
  29. #29 Connecticut (24-7, 12-6 American), .204 / Best Win: at Memphis .79
  30. #30 Dayton (22-9, 10-6 A-10), .202 / Best Win: at Saint Louis .90
  31. #31 George Washington (23-7, 11-5 A-10), .201 / Best Win: at Manhattan .79
  32. #32 Baylor (21-10, 9-9 Big 12), .198 / Best Win: at Oklahoma State .68
  33. IVY / #33 Harvard (26-4, 13-1 Ivy), .186 / Best Win: at Boston U. .74
  34. SUMMIT / #34 North Dakota State (24-6, 13-2 Summit), .185 / Best Win: at Western Michigan .66
  35. #35 Pittsburgh (23-8, 11-7 ACC), .184 / Best Win: at N.C. State .61
  36. #36 Colorado (21-10, 10-8 Pac-12), .183 / Best Win: at Stanford .64
  37. #37 BYU (23-10, 15-5 WCC), .182 / Best Win: at Stanford .65
  38. #38 Oklahoma State (20-11, 8-10 Big 12), .177 / Best Win: vs. Louisiana Tech .69
  39. #39 Toledo (26-5, 14-4 MAC), .177 / Best Win: at Akron .61
  40. #40 Southern Miss (26-5, 13-3 C-USA), .176 / Best Win: at North Dakota State .81
  41. #41 Memphis (23-8, 12-6 American), .176 / Best Win: at Louisville .91
  42. #42 Saint Joseph’s (21-9, 11-5 A-10), .174 / Best Win: at Dayton .73
  43. #43 Stanford (19-11, 10-8 Pac-12), .173 / Best Win: at Connecticut .80
  44. SOUTHLAND / #44 Stephen F. Austin (29-2, 18-0 Southland), .168 / Best Win: at Sam Houston State .64
  45. #45 Arizona State (21-10, 10-8 Pac-12), .167 / Best Win: vs. Arizona .65
  46. #46 Iowa (20-11, 9-9 Big Ten), .166 / Best Win: at Ohio State .82
  47. #47 Kansas State (20-11, 10-8 Big 12), .163 / Best Win: vs. Gonzaga .71
  48. #48 Nebraska (19-11, 11-7 Big Ten), .162 / Best Win: at Michigan State .83
  49. #49 California (19-12, 10-8 Pac-12), .161 / Best Win: at Oregon .80
  50. #50 Green Bay (24-6, 14-3 Horizon), .159 / Best Win: at Cleveland State .67
  51. CONFERENCE USA / #58 Louisiana Tech (25-6, 13-3 C-USA), .145 / Best Win: at Oklahoma .77
  52. MAAC / #65 Manhattan (25-7, 18-5 MAAC), .129 / Best Win: at Canisius .56
  53. SUN BELT / #70 Georgia State (24-7, 17-1 Sun Belt), .115 / Best Win: at Western Kentucky .63
  54. COLONIAL / #77 Delaware (25-9, 17-2 Colonial), .107 / Best Win: at William & Mary .56
  55. PATRIOT / #81 Boston U. (24-9, 17-3 Patriot), .102 / Best Win: vs. UC-Irvine .64
  56. MAC / #82 Western Michigan (21-9, 14-4 MAC), .102 / Best Win: at Ohio .69
  57. ATLANTIC SUN / #87 Mercer (26-8, 17-4 Atlantic Sun), .099 / Best Win: at Florida Gulf Coast .53
  58. OHIO VALLEY / #91 Eastern Kentucky (24-9, 14-5 OVC), .089 / Best Win: at IPFW .72
  59. BIG WEST / #99 UC-Irvine (22-10, 13-3 Big West), .077 / Best Win: at Hawaii .54
  60. MEAC / #108 North Carolina Central (25-5, 15-1 MEAC), .068 / Best Win: at N.C. State .60
  61. NORTHEAST / #136 Robert Morris (21-12, 16-2 Northeast), .035 / Best Win: at St. Francis-NY .46
  62. SOUTHERN / #145 Wofford (20-12, 14-5 Southern), .025 / Best Win: vs. Winthrop .48
  63. WAC / #146 Utah Valley (19-10, 13-3 WAC), .024 / Best Win: New Mexico State .44
  64. HORIZON / #148 Wright State (20-13, 12-6 Horizon), .023 / Best Win: at Cleveland State .62
  65. AMERICA EAST / #161 Stony Brook (23-9, 15-3 America East), .010 / Best Win: vs. Vermont .38
  66. BIG SKY / #164 Weber State (17-11, 14-6 Big Sky), .009 / Best Win: North Dakota .29
  67. BIG SOUTH / #169 Coastal Carolina (21-12, 14-5 Big South), .007 / Best Win: at Radford .46
  68. SWAC / #250 Texas Southern (16-14, 12-6 SWAC), -.067 / Best Win; at Southern U. .49

#KPI NIT Tournament Field of 32 (through March 10): Automatic bids are awarded to teams who won their regular season conference title, but did not win their conference tournament.

  1. (NIT 1) #51 Tennessee (20-11, 11-7 SEC), .157 / Best Win: vs. Virginia .69
  2. (NIT 1) #52 SMU (23-8, 12-6 American), .152 / Best Win: at Connecticut .85
  3. (NIT 1) OHIO VALLEY / #53 Belmont (24-9, 15-3 OVC), .151 / Best Win: at Middle Tennessee .78
  4. (NIT 1) #54 Missouri (21-10, 9-9 SEC), .151 / Best Win: at Arkansas .66
  5. (NIT 2) #55 Arkansas (21-10, 10-8 SEC), .148 / Best Win: at Kentucky .76
  6. (NIT 2) #56 Florida State (18-12, 9-9 ACC), .148 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .75
  7. (NIT 2) #57 Illinois (18-13, 7-11 Big Ten), .145 / Best Win: at Michigan State .83
  8. (NIT 2) #59 Minnesota (19-12, 8-10 Big Ten), .145 / Best Win: vs. Wisconsin .62
  9. (NIT 3) #60 Xavier (20-11, 10-8 Big East), .144 / Best Win: vs. Cincinnati .
  10. (NIT 3) #61 St. John’s (20-11, 10-8 Big East), .135 / Best Win: at Providence .63
  11. (NIT 3) #62 Providence (20-11, 10-8 Big East), .132 / Best Win: at St. John’s .60
  12. (NIT 3) #63 N.C. State (19-12, 9-9 ACC), .132 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .76
  13. (NIT 4) #64 Georgetown (17-13, 8-10 Big East), .131 / Best Win: vs. VCU .65
  14. (NIT 4) #66 St. Mary’s-CA (22-11, 12-8 WCC), .129 / Best Win: at Boise State .57
  15. (NIT 4) #67 Ohio (22-10, 12-7 MAC), .128 / Best Win: at Akron .63
  16. (NIT 4)  #67 Middle Tennessee (23-8, 13-3 C-USA), .123 / Best Win: vs. Southern Miss .61
  17. (NIT 5) #69 Clemson (19-11, 10-8 ACC), .115 / Best Win: at Florida State .59
  18. (NIT 5) #71 New Mexico State (23-9, 12-4 WAC), .115 / Best Win: at New Mexico .88
  19. (NIT 5) MAAC / #72 Iona (22-10, 19-4 MAAC), .112 / Best Win: at Florida Gulf Coast .55
  20. (NIT 5) #73 LSU (18-12, 9-9 SEC), .112 / Best Win: vs. Saint Joseph’s .59
  21. (NIT 6) #74 San Francisco (21-11, 14-6 WCC), .111 / Best Win: vs. Montana .42
  22. (NIT 6) #75 West Virginia (17-14, 9-9 Big 12), .109 / Best Win: at Baylor .6
  23. (NIT 6) #76 Utah (20-10, 9-9 Pac-12), .108 / Best Win: at California .59
  24. (NIT 6) #78 Richmond (18-13, 8-8 A-10), .107 / Best Win: at William & Mary .55
  25. (NIT 7) #79 Maryland (17-14, 9-9 ACC), .105 / Best Win: vs. Virginia .57
  26. (NIT 7) #80 Georgia (18-12, 12-6 SEC), .104 / Best Win: at Missouri .67
  27. (NIT 7) #83 Cleveland State (21-11, 12-5 Horizon), .101 / Best Win: at Milwaukee .58
  28. (NIT 7) #84 UTEP (22-9, 12-4 C-USA), .100 / Best Win: at Middle Tennessee .77
  29. (NIT 8) AMERICA EAST / #112 Vermont (22-10, 16-2 America East), .061 / Best Win: vs. Yale .41
  30. (NIT 8) SOUTHERN / #129 Davidson (20-12, 16-2 Southern), .042 / Best Win: at Wofford .56
  31. (NIT 8) ATLANTIC SUN / #147 Florida Gulf Coast (22-12, 16-5 Atlantic Sun), .023 / Best Win: at Mercer .49
  32. (NIT 8) BIG SOUTH / #167 High Point (16-14, 12-5 Big South), .008 / Best Win: at William & Mary .54

#KPI Top Games for Tuesday, March 11:

  1. #37 BYU vs. #27 Gonzaga (Tuesday 9 p.m. ET, ESPN)
  2. #113 IPFW vs. #34 North Dakota State (Tuesday 9 p.m. ET, ESPN2)
  3. #141 Milwaukee at #148 Wright State (Tuesday 7 p.m. ET, ESPN)
  4. #252 Mount St. Mary’s at #136 Robert Morris (Tuesday 7 p.m. ET, ESPN2)

Notes on Rule ChangesNote that any discrepancy between #KPI and NCAA data is how games against Non Division-I schools are counted (approximately 3.9% of the data)

This is the #KPI

Posted in #KPI, #KPI Update | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

WEEK 18 MONDAY #KPI BASKETBALL (as of 3/10/14)

#KPI Headlines:

  • #KPI Excel resumes ranked by #KPI value per game (through March 9), #KPI by Team (through March 9) and #KPI by Conference (through March 9).  Notes on Rule Changes are also available. Note the discrepancy between #KPI and NCAA data is how games against Non D-I schools are counted (3.9% of the data)
  • Conference tournament brackets are linked below.
  • The six teams who qualified for an NIT automatic bid should they not make the NCAA Tournament (Belmont, Davidson, Florida Gulf Coast, Green Bay, High Point and Vermont) combined to go 84-14 (.857) in conference and 5-6 (.455) in conference tournament action.  Matt Norlander wrote about how conferences determine how their AQ (automatic qualifier) is determined.  Of the six, three lost in neutral court games, two in home games and one in a true road game (Vermont at Albany).
  • The difference between No. 50 Green Bay and No. 51 Tennessee (at the math cut line) is .00137.  No. 53 SMU (who I believe the math may have wrong right now) is .00597 below the cut line.  SMU is hurt by 15 games against teams below No. 200 in the #KPI (they are 10-6 vs. the top-200, 13-2 against sub-200 teams).  #KPI data disagreed with Gary Parrish’s piece on the American, and SMU is a perfect example of why.
  • No. 5 Wichita State has cut the gap to .00132 between them and No. 4 Wisconsin.  Wichita State has a No. 3 non-conference #KPI and No. 8 conference #KPI.  Their 17 road/neutral wins are two more than anybody else (Harvard and Manhattan have 15 each).  No. 44 Stephen F. Austin has 14 true road wins (no neutral site games played).
  • Scoring in conference tournament action (69.75 PPG) is nearly identical to scoring in regular season conference play (69.72 PPG) so far.  Scoring is up in conference tournament action by 0.035%.
  • For the seventh consecutive week, weekly scoring numbers ranged between 69.4 and 69.9 PPG.  Possessions per game have hovered between 66.0 and 66.5 per game each of the last eight weeks.

#KPI NCAA Tournament Field of 68 (through March 9): Automatic bids from the 32 conferences are determined by the top remaining seed in the conference tournament if that conference’s regular season is over.  If not, the AQ will temporarily be determined by best conference record, then best overall record, then best #KPI.  This list is comprised purely by math with no scrubbing. Conference tournament brackets are linked below.

  1. PAC-12 / #1 Arizona (28-3, 15-3 Pac-12), .364 / Best Win: at San Diego State .98
  2. SEC / #2 Florida (29-2, 18-0 SEC), .334 / Best Win: at Kentucky .79
  3. BIG 12 / #3 Kansas (23-8, 14-4 Big 12), .326 / Best Win: at Iowa State .83
  4. #4 Wisconsin (25-6, 12-6 Big Ten), .321 / Best Win: at Virginia .94
  5. MVC / #5 Wichita State (34-0, 21-0 MVC), .320 / Best Win: at Saint Louis .90
  6. BIG EAST / #6 Villanova (28-3, 16-2 Big East), .316 / Best Win: at Saint Joseph’s .82
  7. BIG TEN / #7 Michigan (23-7, 15-3 Big Ten), .280 / Best Win: at Wisconsin .91
  8. #8 Syracuse (27-4, 14-4 ACC), .276 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .74
  9. #9 Creighton (24-6, 14-4 Big East), .271 / Best Win: at Villanova 1.09
  10. ACC / #10 Virginia (25-6, 16-2 ACC), .269 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .75
  11. #11 Duke (24-7, 13-5 ACC), .258 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .80
  12. ATLANTIC 10 / #12 Saint Louis (26-5, 13-3 A-10), .247 / Best Win: at Massachusetts .81
  13. #13 Louisville (26-5, 15-3 American), .247 / Best Win: at Cincinnati .87
  14. MOUNTAIN WEST / #14 San Diego State (27-3, 16-2 Mountain West), .246 / Best Win: at Kansas .86
  15. #15 New Mexico (24-6, 15-3 Mountain West), .246 / Best Win: at New Mexico State .72
  16. AMERICAN / #16 Cincinnati (26-5, 15-3 American), .243 / Best Win: at Louisville .89
  17. #17 Massachusetts (23-7, 10-6 A-10), .243 / Best Win: at George Washington .81
  18. #18 VCU (24-7, 12-4 A-10), .242 / Best Win: at Virginia .87
  19. #19 Ohio State (23-8, 10-8 Big Ten), .242 / Best Win: at Wisconsin .88
  20. #20 Iowa State (23-7, 11-7 Big 12), .240 / Best Win: at BYU .70
  21. #21 Michigan State (23-8, 12-6 Big Ten), .236 / Best Win: at Texas .77
  22. #22 North Carolina (23-8, 13-5 ACC), .228 / Best Win: at Michigan State .85
  23. #23 Oklahoma (23-8, 12-6 Big 12), .226 / Best Win: at Texas .72
  24. #24 UCLA (23-8, 12-6 Pac-12), .222 / Best Win: at Oregon .76
  25. #25 Oregon (22-8, 10-8 Pac-12), .221 / Best Win: at UCLA .78
  26. #26 Kentucky (22-9, 12-6 SEC), .219 / Best Win: at Missouri .66
  27. WCC / #27 Gonzaga (26-6, 16-3 WCC), .213 / Best Win: at St. Mary’s-CA .81
  28. #28 Texas (22-9, 11-7 Big 12), .205 / Best Win: at North Carolina .78
  29. #29 Connecticut (24-7, 12-6 American), .204 / Best Win: at Memphis .79
  30. #30 Dayton (22-9, 10-6 A-10), .202 / Best Win: at Saint Louis .90
  31. #31 George Washington (23-7, 11-5 A-10), .201 / Best Win: at Manhattan .77
  32. #32 Baylor (21-10, 9-9 Big 12), .197 / Best Win: at Oklahoma State .68
  33. IVY / #33 Harvard (26-4, 13-1 Ivy), .187 / Best Win: at Boston U. .73
  34. #34 Colorado (21-10, 10-8 Pac-12), .183 / Best Win: at Stanford .64
  35. #35 Pittsburgh (23-8, 11-7 ACC), .183 / Best Win: at N.C. State .61
  36. SUMMIT / #36 North Dakota State (23-6, 12-2 Summit), .181 / Best Win: at Western Michigan .66
  37. #37 Oklahoma State (20-11, 8-10 Big 12), .177 / Best Win: vs. Louisiana Tech .69
  38. #38 BYU (22-10, 14-5 WCC), .176 / Best Win: at St. Mary’s-CA .67
  39. #39 Toledo (26-5, 14-4 MAC), .176 / Best Win: at Akron .61
  40. #40 Memphis (23-8, 12-6 American), .176 / Best Win: at Louisville .91
  41. #41 Southern Miss (26-5, 13-3 C-USA), .176 / Best Win: at North Dakota State .80
  42. #42 Saint Joseph’s (21-9, 11-5 A-10), .175 / Best Win: at Dayton .73
  43. #43 Stanford (19-11, 10-8 Pac-12), .175 / Best Win: at Connecticut .80
  44. SOUTHLAND / #44 Stephen F. Austin (29-2, 18-0 Southland), .168 / Best Win: at Sam Houston State .63
  45. #45 Iowa (20-11, 9-9 Big Ten), .166 / Best Win: at Ohio State .82
  46. #46 Arizona State (21-10, 10-8 Pac-12), .166 / Best Win: vs. Arizona .65
  47. #47 Kansas State (20-11, 10-8 Big 12), .162 / Best Win: vs. Gonzaga .70
  48. #48 Nebraska (19-11, 11-7 Big Ten), .162 / Best Win: at Michigan State .83
  49. #49 California (19-12, 10-8 Pac-12), .161 / Best Win: at Oregon .80
  50. #50 Green Bay (24-6, 14-3 Horizon), .158 / Best Win: at Cleveland State .67
  51. CONFERENCE USA / #57 Louisiana Tech (25-6, 13-3 C-USA), .145 / Best Win: at Oklahoma .77
  52. MAAC / #70 Iona (22-9, 19-3 MAAC), .116 / Best Win: at Florida Gulf Coast .55
  53. SUN BELT / #72 Georgia State (24-7, 17-1 Sun Belt), .114 / Best Win: at Western Kentucky .63
  54. PATRIOT / #81 Boston U. (24-9, 17-3 Patriot), .102 / Best Win: vs. UC-Irvine .64
  55. MAC / #82 Western Michigan (21-9, 14-4 MAC), .101 / Best Win: at Ohio .69
  56. COLONIAL / #84 Delaware (24-9, 16-2 Colonial), .100 / Best Win: at William & Mary .57
  57. ATLANTIC SUN / #87 Mercer (26-8, 17-4 Atlantic Sun), .099 / Best Win: at Florida Gulf Coast .53
  58. OHIO VALLEY / #91 Eastern Kentucky (24-9, 14-5 OVC), .089 / Best Win: at IPFW .69
  59. BIG WEST / #98 UC-Irvine (22-10, 13-3 Big West), .078 / Best Win: at Hawaii .54
  60. MEAC / #110 North Carolina Central (25-5, 15-1 MEAC), .066 / Best Win: at N.C. State .60
  61. NORTHEAST / #136 Robert Morris (21-12, 16-2 Northeast), .034 / Best Win: at St. Francis-NY .46
  62. WAC / #147 Utah Valley (19-10, 13-3 WAC), .023 / Best Win: New Mexico State .43
  63. HORIZON / #148 Wright State (20-13, 12-6 Horizon), .023 / Best Win: at Cleveland State .62
  64. SOUTHERN / #157 Wofford (19-12, 13-5 Southern), .018 / Best Win: vs. Winthrop .47
  65. AMERICA EAST / #162 Stony Brook (23-9, 15-3 America East), .010 / Best Win: vs. Vermont .38
  66. BIG SKY / #165 Weber State (17-11, 14-6 Big Sky), .009 / Best Win: North Dakota .29
  67. BIG SOUTH / #168 Coastal Carolina (21-12, 14-5 Big South), .008 / Best Win: at Radford .45
  68. SWAC / #251 Texas Southern (16-14, 12-6 SWAC), -.068 / Best Win; vs. Southern U. .49

#KPI NIT Tournament Field of 32 (through March 9): Automatic bids are awarded to teams who won their regular season conference title, but did not win their conference tournament.

  1. (NIT 1) #51 Tennessee (20-11, 11-7 SEC), .157 / Best Win: vs. Virginia .69
  2. (NIT 1) OHIO VALLEY / #52 Belmont (24-9, 15-3 OVC), .153 / Best Win: at Middle Tennessee .78
  3. (NIT 1) #53 SMU (23-8, 12-6 American), .152 / Best Win: at Connecticut .85
  4. (NIT 1) #54 Missouri (21-10, 9-9 SEC), .151 / Best Win: at Arkansas .66
  5. (NIT 2) #55 Arkansas (21-10, 10-8 SEC), .148 / Best Win: at Kentucky .76
  6. (NIT 2) #56 Florida State (18-12, 9-9 ACC), .148 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .76
  7. (NIT 2) #58 Minnesota (19-12, 8-10 Big Ten), .145 / Best Win: vs. Wisconsin .62
  8. (NIT 2) #59 Xavier (20-11, 10-8 Big East), .144 / Best Win: vs. Cincinnati .79
  9. (NIT 3) #60 Illinois (18-13, 7-11 Big Ten), .144 / Best Win: at Michigan State .83
  10. (NIT 3) #61 St. John’s (20-11, 10-8 Big East), .136 / Best Win: at Providence .63
  11. (NIT 3) #62 St. Mary’s-CA (22-10, 12-7 WCC), .134 / Best Win: at Boise State .57
  12. (NIT 3) #63 Providence (20-11, 10-8 Big East), .132 / Best Win: vs. Creighton .60
  13. (NIT 4) #66 Ohio (21-10, 11-7 MAC), .132 / Best Win: at Akron .63
  14. (NIT 4) #65 N.C. State (19-12, 9-9 ACC), .132 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .77
  15. (NIT 4) #66 Georgetown (17-13, 8-10 Big East), .131 / Best Win: vs. VCU .65
  16. (NIT 4)  #67 Middle Tennessee (23-8, 13-3 C-USA), .123 / Best Win: vs. Southern Miss .61
  17. (NIT 5) #68 Manhattan (24-7, 17-5 MAAC), .118 / Best Win: at Canisius .56
  18. (NIT 5) #69 San Francisco (21-10, 14-5 WCC), .118 / Best Win: vs. St. Mary’s-CA .43
  19. (NIT 5) #71 Clemson (19-11, 10-8 ACC), .115 / Best Win: at Florida State .59
  20. (NIT 5) #73 New Mexico State (23-9, 12-4 WAC), .114 / Best Win: at New Mexico .88
  21. (NIT 6) #74 LSU (18-12, 9-9 SEC), .112 / Best Win: vs. Saint Joseph’s .59
  22. (NIT 6) #75 West Virginia (17-14, 9-9 Big 12), .110 / Best Win: at Baylor .68
  23. (NIT 6) #76 Utah (20-10, 9-9 Pac-12), .107 / Best Win: at California .59
  24. (NIT 6) #77 Richmond (18-13, 8-8 A-10), .107 / Best Win: at William & Mary .56
  25. (NIT 7) #78 Maryland (17-14, 9-9 ACC), .105 / Best Win: vs. Virginia .57
  26. (NIT 7) #79 Georgia (18-12, 12-6 SEC), .104 / Best Win: at Missouri .67
  27. (NIT 7) #80 Cleveland State (21-11, 12-5 Horizon), .103 / Best Win: at Milwaukee .57
  28. (NIT 7) #83 UTEP (22-9, 12-4 C-USA), .100 / Best Win: at Middle Tennessee .77
  29. (NIT 8) AMERICA EAST / #112 Vermont (22-10, 16-2 America East), .061 / Best Win: vs. Yale .41
  30. (NIT 8) SOUTHERN / #130 Davidson (20-12, 16-2 Southern), .042 / Best Win: at Wofford .53
  31. (NIT 8) ATLANTIC SUN / #145 Florida Gulf Coast (22-12, 16-5 Atlantic Sun), .024 / Best Win: at Mercer .49
  32. (NIT 8) BIG SOUTH / #169 High Point (16-14, 12-5 Big South), .007 / Best Win: at William & Mary .56

Top 10 #KPI Wins – ROAD GAMES ONLY (through games of March 9, 2014)

  1. +1.09     #9 Creighton 96, #6 Villanova 68 (Jan 20)
  2. +0.98     #1 Arizona 69, #14 San Diego State 60 (Nov 14)
  3. +0.94     #4 Wisconsin 48, #10 Virginia 38 (Dec 4)
  4. +0.93     #125 Northwestern 65, #4 Wisconsin 56 (Jan 29)
  5. +0.93     #118 Georgia Tech 67, #8 Syracuse 62 (Mar 4)
  6. +0.92     #211 Boston College 62, #8 Syracuse 59 (Feb 19)
  7. +0.92     #195 Duquesne 71, #12 Saint Louis 64 (Feb 27)
  8. +0.91     #7 Michigan 77, #4 Wisconsin 70 (Jan 18)
  9. +0.91     #40 Memphis 73, #13 Louisville 67 (Jan 9)
  10. +0.90     #151 Yale 74, #33 Harvard 67 (Feb 8)

Top 10 #KPI Wins – NEUTRAL SITE GAMES ONLY (through games of March 9, 2014)

  1. +0.79     #59 Xavier 64, #16 Cincinnati 47 (Dec 14)
  2. +0.74     #3 Kansas 80, #15 New Mexico 63 (Dec 14)
  3. +0.73     #17 Massachusetts 81, #15 New Mexico 65 (Nov 22)
  4. +0.73     #4 Wisconsin 63, #12 Saint Louis 57 (Nov 26)
  5. +0.72     #22 North Carolina 93, #13 Louisville 84 (Nov 24)
  6. +0.71     #31 George Washington 60, #9 Creighton 53 (Dec 1)
  7. +0.71     #56 Florida State 85, #18 VCU 67 (Nov 21)
  8. +0.70     #47 Kansas State 72, #27 Gonzaga 62 (Dec 21)
  9. +0.69     #14 San Diego State 86, #9 Creighton 80 (Nov 29)
  10. +0.69     #37 Oklahoma State 70, #57 Louisiana Tech 55 (Dec 14)

Top 10 #KPI Wins – HOME GAMES ONLY (through games of March 9, 2014)

  1. +0.70     #13 Louisville 69, #41 Southern Miss 38 (Nov 29)
  2. +0.70     #9 Creighton 101, #6 Villanova 80 (Feb 16)
  3. +0.70     #8 Syracuse 78, #6 Villanova 62 (Dec 28)
  4. +0.69     #15 New Mexico 58, #14 San Diego State 44 (Feb 22)
  5. +0.69     #4 Wisconsin 59, #2 Florida 53 (Nov 12)
  6. +0.69     #51 Tennessee 87, #10 Virginia 52 (Dec 30)
  7. +0.68     #10 Virginia 75, #8 Syracuse 56 (Mar 1)
  8. +0.67     #25 Oregon 64, #1 Arizona 57 (Mar 8)
  9. +0.66     #29 Connecticut 65, #2 Florida 64 (Dec 2)
  10. +0.65     #53 SMU 76, #16 Cincinnati 55 (Feb 8)

#KPI Numbers

  • The current adjustments are +0.15 for road teams, -0.16 for home teams and -0.04 for neutral site teams.  The average win is worth +0.20.  The average loss is worth -0.20.
  • Scoring (by conference, all games): 1-Big 12 (75.5 PPG); 2-Ohio Valley (74.5 PPG); 3-Pac-12 (74.4 PPG); 4-Big South (74.0 PPG); 5-WCC (74.0 PPG); 6-Big East (73.2 PPG); 7-Southland (72.9 PPG); 8-American (72.9 PPG); 9-MAAC (72.9 PPG); 10-Atlantic Sun (72.1 PPG)
  • Scoring (by conference, conference games and conference tournament games only): 1-Ohio Valley (75.4 PPG); 2-Big South (74.4 PPG); 3-MAAC (73.5 PPG); 4-Southland (73.2 PPG); 5-Big 12 (73.0 PPG); 6-Atlantic Sun (72.6 PPG); 7-Northeast (71.7 PPG); 8-Big East (71.1 PPG); 9-WCC (71.0 PPG); 10-Pac-12 (70.9 PPG)
  • Home teams are 3,509-1,683 (.676). There have been 417 games (7.4% of all games) played at a neutral site, including conference tournaments.  55.2% of all games are conference games or conference tournament games to date.
  • Non-Conference #KPI: 1-Wisconsin; 2-Arizona; 3-Wichita State; 4-Massachusetts; 5-Oregon; 6-Kansas, 7-Syracuse; 8-Iowa State; 9-Ohio State; 10-Villanova
  • Conference + Conference Tournament #KPI: 1-Michigan; 2-Florida; 3-Arizona; 4-Virginia; 5-Kansas; 6-Villanova; 7-Saint Louis; 8-Wichita State; 9-Louisville; 10-Creighton
  • #KPI in Home Games Only: 1-Kansas, 2-Duke; 3-Florida; 4-Arizona; 5-VCU; 6-Creighton; 7-Iowa State; 8-Colorado; 9-Kentucky; 10-Texas
  • #KPI in Road/Neutral Games Only: 1-Arizona; 2-Wisconsin; 3-Wichita State; 4-Villanova; 5-Syracuse; 6-Michigan; 7-Florida; 8-Saint Louis; 9-San Diego State; 10-Virginia
  • #KPI Only in Top-25 Games: 1-Wichita State (1-0); 2-Louisiana Tech (1-0); 3-Charlotte (1-0); 4-Arizona (5-1); 5-Creighton (2-1); 6-Wisconsin (5-2); 7-Kansas (6-3); 8-San Diego State (3-2); 9-Massachusetts (2-1); 10-Michigan (4-4)
  • #KPI Only in Top-50 Games: 1-Wichita State (2-0); 2-East Tennessee State (1-0); 3-Northern Colorado (1-0); 4-Wisconsin (8-3); 5-Arizona (11-3); 6-Creighton (6-2); 7-Syracuse (7-2); 8-San Diego State (3-2); 9-Cincinnati (6-3); 10-Florida (4-2)
  • #KPI Only in Top-100 Games: 1-Wichita State (7-0); 2-Arizona (16-3); 3-Syracuse (14-2); 4-Florida (14-2); 5-Villanova (15-3); 6-San Diego State (9-2); 7-Wisconsin (17-5); 8-Louisville (6-5); 9-Saint Louis (8-4); 10-Michigan (14-6)
  • #KPI Strength of Schedule (with Home/Away adjustment): 1-Kansas (.128); 2-Boston College (.091); 3-Wisconsin (.085); 4-Michigan (.084); 5-Florida State (.079); 6-Texas Tech (.079); 7-Michigan State (.075); 8-Iowa State (.075); 9-Georgetown (.074); 10-Stanford (.073)
  • 7.8% of all games involving a Division I team are currently against Non-Division I teams.  Division I teams are 425-14 (.968) in those games by a margin of 90.2 PPG to 60.5 PPG.  Non-Division I games also count in the #KPI rankings.  All games against Non-Division I teams count as one opponent (currently No. 349 in the #KPI).

#KPI Top Games for Monday, March 3:

  1. #62 St. Mary’s-CA vs. #27 Gonzaga (Monday 9 p.m. ET, ESPN)
  2. #69 San Francisco vs. #38 BYU (Monday 11:30 p.m. ET, ESPN2)
  3. #68 Manhattan vs. #70 Iona (Monday 7 p.m. ET, ESPN2)
  4. #116 Denver vs. #36 North Dakota State (Monday 7 p.m. ET, FOX College Sports)
  5. #129 William & Mary vs. #84 Delaware (Monday 7 p.m. ET, NBC Sports Network)
  6. #196 Western Carolina vs. #157 Wofford (Monday 9 p.m. ET, ESPN2)

Notes on Rule ChangesNote that any discrepancy between #KPI and NCAA data is how games against Non Division-I schools are counted (approximately 3.9% of the data)

Points Per Game: Up 4.9% (3.27 PPG); from 67.5 PPG to 70.8 PPG. Through this time last season, teams were averaging 67.2 PPG (up 5.3% this year over the same time period). This is the highest scoring average since 2001-02 (71.26 PPG).  Points Per Possession have increased at a rate of 3.1%.  In 2012-13, scoring decreased 0.9 PPG (1.3%) between non-conference and conference play.  In 2013-14, scoring has decreased 2.4 PPG (3.3%) from 72.1 PPG in non-conference to 69.7 PPG in conference.

In 2012-13, 52.3% of points came from made 2-pt FGs, 27.4% from made 3-pt FGs and 20.3% from made free throws.  In 2013-14, 51.2% of points have come from made 2-pt FGs, 26.8% from made 3-pt FGs and 22.0% from made free throws.  The net increase is +0.92 points from made 2′s, +0.46 points from made 3′s and +1.88 points from made free throws.  In conference games only this year, 50.8% of points come from made 2-pt FGs, 26.9% from made 3′s and 22.2% from made free throws.

Average Margin Per Game: +13.1 PPG: The average margin in 2012-13 was +13.1 PPG..  The average margin in non-conference play is 16.3 PPG compared to 10.6 PPG in conference play.  26.4% of games have been decided by 5 points or less, 50.4% of games have been decided by 10 points or less and 19.2% of games have been decided by more than 20 points.

Possessions Per Game: Up 1.7% (1.11 possession per game); from 66.7 to 67.8 possessions per game per team.  Possessions are 2.84 possessions per game lower (down 4.1%) in conference play than non-conference play this year.

Field Goal Attempts: Up 1.0% (0.58 FGA per game); from 55.0 to 55.6 FGA: Team field goal percentage is at 44.0%, up from 43.3% last year.  Field goals made are up 2.6% (0.61 per game). Field goal attempts are at their highest mark since 2009-10 (55.7 FGA/game).  Teams are attempting 2.32 fewer field goals in conference play than non-conference (down 4.1%), but FGAs are only down 0.02% per possession in conference play.

3-pt Field Goal Attempts: Up 1.3% (0.24 3-ptA per game); from 18.1 to 18.4 3-ptA: 3-pt field goal percentage is at 34.5%, up from 34.1% last year.  3-pt field goal attempts are at their highest number since an all-time high in 2007-08 (19.1 per game).

Free Throw Attempts: Up 13.1% (2.59 FTA per game); from 19.76 to 22.35 FTA: Team free throw percentage is at 69.7% (69.3% last year).  Teams are making 1.88 more free throws per game this year (up 13.7%).  Free throw attempts are at their highest mark since 2000-01 (22.40 FTA/game).  Free Throw Attempts fell from 23.5 in November to 21.9 in December, rose to 22.3 per game in January and settled at 21.7 per game in February.

Turnovers: Down 5.8% (0.77 turnovers per game); 13.3 to 12.5 turnovers: Turnovers per possession are down 7.3% while steals per possession are down 9.0%.  More plays that used to be steals/turnovers are being called fouls.

Personal Fouls: Up 8.6% (1.51 fouls per game); 17.68 to 19.21 fouls: Personal fouls are at their highest mark since 2000-01 (19.92 fouls per game).  Fouls per possession are up 6.8%.  Fouls are down 2.8% per possession from non-conference to conference this season.

Comparative analysis includes data from all games involving Division-I teams for the 2013-14 season.  Historical data is courtesy of the NCAA and can be found here.

This is the #KPI

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WEEK 17 SUNDAY #KPI BASKETBALL (as of 3/9/14)

#KPI Headlines:

  • Conference tournament brackets are linked below for all conferences who have completed their regular season.  After Sunday, the Penn-Princeton game on Tuesday is the only regular season game remaining on the schedule.
  • Press Row’s Not Safe Podcast: March Madness talk with Raphielle Johnson and Kevin Pauga.
  • Harvard and Eastern Kentucky have clinched NCAA automatic bids.  Green Bay, Belmont and High Point have clinched NIT automatic bids (should they not make the NCAA Tournament).
  • For the moment, the #KPI math leaves No. 49 Green Bay as the second to last team in the field of 68.  That said, with no more games to be played, there is a reasonable chance they get passed.
  • No. 53 SMU (23-8, 12-6 American) appears to be a temporary outlier.  They are within percentage points of being in the field.
  • The cut line was pushed to No. 50 with changes in the Horizon League and Ohio Valley Conference on Saturday.
  • Notes on Rule Changes: Note the discrepancy between #KPI and NCAA data is how games against Non D-I schools are counted (4.0% of the data)

#KPI NCAA Tournament Field of 68 (through March 8): Automatic bids from the 32 conferences are determined by the top remaining seed in the conference tournament if that conference’s regular season is over.  If not, the AQ will temporarily be determined by best conference record, then best overall record, then best #KPI.  This list is comprised purely by math with no scrubbing. Conference tournament brackets are linked below.

  1. PAC-12 / #1 Arizona (28-3, 15-3 Pac-12), .364 / Best Win: at San Diego State .97
  2. #2 Wisconsin (25-5, 12-5 Big Ten), .336 / Best Win: at Virginia .98
  3. SEC / #3 Florida (29-2, 18-0 SEC), .335 / Best Win: at Kentucky .80
  4. BIG 12 / #4 Kansas (23-8, 14-4 Big 12), .326 / Best Win: at Iowa State .83
  5. BIG EAST / #5 Villanova (28-3, 16-2 Big East), .317 / Best Win: at Saint Joseph’s .86
  6. MVC / #6 Wichita State (33-0, 20-0 MVC), .314 / Best Win: at Saint Louis .89
  7. ACC / #7 Virginia (25-5, 16-1 ACC), .283 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .75
  8. BIG TEN / #8 Michigan (23-7, 15-3 Big Ten), .283 / Best Win: at Wisconsin .94
  9. #9 Creighton (24-6, 14-4 Big East), .270 / Best Win: at Villanova 1.09
  10. #10 Syracuse (26-4, 13-4 ACC), .263 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .74
  11. #11 Duke (24-7, 13-5 ACC), .260 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .80
  12. #12 Massachusetts (23-6, 10-5 A-10), .252 / Best Win: at George Washington .81
  13. #13 New Mexico (24-6, 15-3 Mountain West), .248 / Best Win: at New Mexico State .73
  14. #14 Louisville (26-5, 15-3 American), .247 / Best Win: at Cincinnati .87
  15. MOUNTAIN WEST / #15 San Diego State (27-3, 16-2 Mountain West), .247 / Best Win: at Kansas .86
  16. #16 Michigan State (23-7, 12-5 Big Ten), .245 / Best Win: at Texas .76
  17. #17 VCU (24-7, 12-4 A-10), .242 / Best Win: at Virginia .90
  18. AMERICAN / #18 Cincinnati (26-5, 15-3 American), .245 / Best Win: at Louisville .89
  19. #19 Iowa State (23-7, 11-7 Big 12), .240 / Best Win: at BYU .70
  20. #20 Ohio State (22-8, 9-8 Big Ten), .235 / Best Win: at Wisconsin .90
  21. #21 North Carolina (23-8, 13-5 ACC), .230 / Best Win: at Michigan State .87
  22. ATLANTIC 10 / #22 Saint Louis (25-5, 12-3 A-10), .228 / Best Win: at Saint Joseph’s .83
  23. #23 Oklahoma (23-8, 12-6 Big 12), .225 / Best Win: at Texas .72
  24. #24 UCLA (23-8, 12-6 Pac-12), .221 / Best Win: at Oregon .76
  25. #25 Oregon (22-8, 10-8 Pac-12), .220 / Best Win: at UCLA .78
  26. #26 Kentucky (22-9, 12-6 SEC), .218 / Best Win: at Missouri .66
  27. WCC / #27 Gonzaga (26-6, 16-3 WCC), .213 / Best Win: at St. Mary’s-CA .80
  28. #28 Texas (22-9, 11-7 Big 12), .205 / Best Win: at North Carolina .78
  29. #29 Connecticut (24-7, 12-6 American), .203 / Best Win: at Memphis .79
  30. #30 Dayton (22-9, 10-6 A-10), .202 / Best Win: at Saint Louis .89
  31. #31 George Washington (23-7, 11-5 A-10), .199 / Best Win: at Manhattan .75
  32. #32 Baylor (21-10, 9-9 Big 12), .197 / Best Win: at Oklahoma State .68
  33. #33 Saint Joseph’s (21-8, 11-4 A-10), .190 / Best Win: at Dayton .73
  34. IVY / #34 Harvard (26-4, 13-1 Ivy), .188 / Best Win: at Boston U. .74
  35. #35 Colorado (21-10, 10-8 Pac-12), .183 / Best Win: at Stanford .64
  36. #36 Pittsburgh (23-8, 11-7 ACC), .182 / Best Win: at N.C. State .60
  37. SUMMIT / #37 North Dakota State (23-6, 12-2 Summit), .181 / Best Win: at Western Michigan .66
  38. #38 Oklahoma State (20-11, 8-10 Big 12), .178 / Best Win: vs. Louisiana Tech .69
  39. #39 BYU (22-10, 14-5 WCC), .176 / Best Win: at St. Mary’s-CA .67
  40. #40 Southern Miss (26-5, 13-3 C-USA), .175 / Best Win: at North Dakota State .80
  41. #41 Toledo (26-5, 14-4 MAC), .175 / Best Win: at Akron .61
  42. #42 Memphis (23-8, 12-6 American), .175 / Best Win: at Louisville .90
  43. #43 Stanford (19-11, 10-8 Pac-12), .172 / Best Win: at Connecticut .80
  44. SOUTHLAND / #44 Stephen F. Austin (29-2, 18-0 Southland), .169 / Best Win: at Sam Houston State .63
  45. #45 Arizona State (21-10, 10-8 Pac-12), .166 / Best Win: vs. Arizona .65
  46. #46 Iowa (20-11, 9-9 Big Ten), .165 / Best Win: at Ohio State .80
  47. #47 Kansas State (20-11, 10-8 Big 12), .163 / Best Win: vs. Gonzaga .70
  48. #48 California (19-12, 10-8 Pac-12), .161 / Best Win: at Oregon .81
  49. #49 Green Bay (24-6, 14-3 Horizon), .160 / Best Win: at Cleveland State .67
  50. #50 Tennessee (20-11, 11-7 SEC), .158 / Best Win: vs. Virginia .72
  51. CONFERENCE USA / #58 Louisiana Tech (25-6, 13-3 C-USA), .145 / Best Win: at Oklahoma .78
  52. SUN BELT / #70 Georgia State (24-7, 17-1 Sun Belt), .115 / Best Win: at Western Kentucky .63
  53. MAAC / #74 Iona (21-9, 18-3 MAAC), .109 / Best Win: at Florida Gulf Coast .58
  54. PATRIOT / #80 Boston U. (24-9, 17-3 Patriot), .102 / Best Win: vs. UC-Irvine .64
  55. COLONIAL / #81 Delaware (23-9, 15-2 Colonial), .101 / Best Win: at William & Mary .56
  56. MAC / #82 Western Michigan (21-9, 14-4 MAC), .100 / Best Win: at Ohio .68
  57. OHIO VALLEY / #91 Eastern Kentucky (24-9, 14-5 OVC), .089 / Best Win: at IPFW .69
  58. BIG WEST / #99 UC-Irvine (22-10, 13-3 Big West), .077 / Best Win: at Hawaii .54
  59. AMERICA EAST / #106 Vermont (22-9, 16-1 America East), .069 / Best Win: at Yale .41
  60. MEAC / #109 North Carolina Central (25-5, 15-1 MEAC), .066 / Best Win: at N.C. State .59
  61. SOUTHERN / #122 Davidson (20-11, 16-1 Southern), .050 / Best Win: at Wofford .51
  62. NORTHEAST / #136 Robert Morris (21-12, 16-2 Northeast), .034 / Best Win: at St. Francis-NY .46
  63. ATLANTIC SUN / #144 Florida Gulf Coast (22-11, 16-4 Atlantic Sun), .026 / Best Win: vs. Mercer .47
  64. WAC / #147 Utah Valley (19-10, 13-3 WAC), .023 / Best Win: New Mexico State .44
  65. HORIZON / #148 Wright State (20-13, 12-6 Horizon), .023 / Best Win: at Cleveland State .62
  66. BIG SKY / #163 Weber State (17-11, 14-6 Big Sky), .009 / Best Win: North Dakota .29
  67. BIG SOUTH / #175 Coastal Carolina (20-12, 13-5 Big South), -.001 / Best Win: at Radford .46
  68. SWAC / #239 Alabama State (18-11, 12-6 SWAC), -.059 / Best Win: Texas Southern .15

#KPI NIT Tournament Field of 32 (through March 8): Automatic bids are awarded to teams who won their regular season conference title, but did not win their conference tournament.

  1. (NIT 1) #51 Florida State (18-11, 9-8 ACC), .153 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .75
  2. (NIT 1) OHIO VALLEY / #52 Belmont (24-9, 15-3 OVC), .153 / Best Win: at North Carolina .78
  3. (NIT 1) #53 SMU (23-8, 12-6 American), .152 / Best Win: at Connecticut .85
  4. (NIT 1) #54 Missouri (21-10, 9-9 SEC), .150 / Best Win: at Arkansas .65
  5. (NIT 2) #55 Nebraska (18-11, 10-7 Big Ten), .149 / Best Win: at Michigan State .85
  6. (NIT 2) #56 Arkansas (21-10, 10-8 SEC), .147 / Best Win: at Kentucky .76
  7. (NIT 2) #57 Illinois (18-13, 7-11 Big Ten), .145 / Best Win: at Michigan State .85
  8. (NIT 2) #59 Xavier (20-11, 10-8 Big East), .144 / Best Win: vs. Cincinnati .79
  9. (NIT 3) #60 Minnesota (18-12, 7-10 Big Ten), .143 / Best Win: vs. Wisconsin .64
  10. (NIT 3) #61 St. John’s (20-11, 10-8 Big East), .136 / Best Win: at Providence .63
  11. (NIT 3) #62 N.C. State (18-12, 8-9 ACC), .135 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .76
  12. (NIT 3) #63 St. Mary’s-CA (22-10, 12-7 WCC), .135 / Best Win: at Boise State .56
  13. (NIT 4) #64 Georgetown (17-13, 8-10 Big East), .132 / Best Win: vs. VCU .65
  14. (NIT 4) #65 Providence (20-11, 10-8 Big East), .132 / Best Win: vs. Creighton .60
  15. (NIT 4) #66 Ohio (21-10, 11-7 MAC), .131 / Best Win: at Akron .63
  16. (NIT 4) #67 Middle Tennessee (23-8, 13-3 C-USA), .123 / Best Win: vs. Southern Miss .61
  17. (NIT 5) #68 San Francisco (21-10, 14-5 WCC), .119 / Best Win: vs. St. Mary’s-CA .43
  18. (NIT 5) #69 Clemson (19-11, 10-8 ACC), .117 / Best Win: at Florida State .63
  19. (NIT 5) #71 New Mexico State (23-9, 12-4 WAC), .113 / Best Win: at New Mexico .88
  20. (NIT 5) #72 LSU (18-12, 9-9 SEC), .113 / Best Win: vs. Saint Joseph’s .63
  21. (NIT 6) #73 West Virginia (17-14, 9-9 Big 12), .110 / Best Win: at Baylor .68
  22. (NIT 6) #75 Utah (20-10, 9-9 Pac-12), .107 / Best Win: at California .59
  23. (NIT 6) #76 Richmond (18-13, 8-8 A-10), .107 / Best Win: at William & Mary .55
  24. (NIT 6) #77 Manhattan (23-7, 16-5 MAAC), .107 / Best Win: at Canisius .59
  25. (NIT 7) #78 Georgia (18-12, 12-6 SEC), .103 / Best Win: at Missouri .67
  26. (NIT 7) #79 Cleveland State (21-11, 12-5 Horizon), .103 / Best Win: at Milwaukee .58
  27. (NIT 7) #83 UTEP (22-9, 12-4 C-USA), .100 / Best Win: at Middle Tennessee .77
  28. (NIT 7) #84 Marquette (17-14, 9-9 Big East), .099 / Best Win: vs. George Washington .67
  29. (NIT 8) #85 Mississippi (18-13, 9-9 SEC), .099 / Best Win: at Western Kentucky .55
  30. (NIT 8) #86 Boise State (19-12, 9-9 Mountain West), .098 / Best Win: vs. New Mexico .55
  31. (NIT 8) #87 Indiana (17-14, 7-11 Big Ten), .092 / Best Win: vs. Wisconsin .60
  32. (NIT 8) BIG SOUTH / #170 High Point (16-14, 12-5 Big South), .006 / Best Win: at William & Mary .54

#KPI Top Games for Sunday, March 9:

  1. #22 Saint Louis at #12 Massachusetts (Sunday 2 p.m. ET, CBS Sports Network)
  2. #16 Michigan State at #20 Ohio State (Sunday 4:30 p.m. ET, CBS)
  3. #2 Wisconsin at #55 Nebraska (Sunday 7:30 p.m. ET, BTN)
  4. #10 Syracuse at #51 Florida State (Sunday 2 p.m. ET, ESPN Full Court/ACC Network)
  5. #7 Virginia at #89 Maryland (Sunday 12 p.m. ET, CBS)
  6. #92 Indiana State vs. #6 Wichita State (Sunday 2 p.m. ET, CBS)

This is the #KPI.

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