WEEK 18 SATURDAY #KPI BASKETBALL (as of 3/15/14, 7am ET)

#KPI Headlines:

  • Full #KPI data (by team) as of Saturday 7 a.m. ET.
  • The top wins of Friday came from Louisiana Tech (beat Southern Miss, .72), N.C. State (beat Syracuse, .70), Iowa State (beat Kansas, .67), Connecticut (beat Cincinnati, .67) and St. Bonaventure (beat Saint Louis .67).
  • Possible bid stealers still exist in Conference USA (if Louisiana Tech loses), Atlantic 10 (if St. Bonaventure wins twice), ACC (if N.C. State wins one OR two), SEC (if Georgia wins twice), MAC (if Toledo loses) and the Big East (if Providence isn’t already in the field).
  • The #KPI missed one team in 2013.  The formula put Southern Miss ahead of Villanova (which did not hold true).  This year, Southern Miss (27-6) sits at No. 37 in the #KPI.  There is concern for No. 36 Toledo (if they don’t win the MAC) and No. 46 Green Bay (lost in Horizon semifinals).  Teams like No. 56 Iowa, No. 57 Providence, No. 58 Xavier and No. 60 SMU are not liked by the math as much as some.  I’m convinced one curve ball could come from this group.
  • Four teams have now won 30 or more games: No. 1 Arizona, No. 2 Florida, No. 4 Wichita State and No. 40 Stephen F. Austin.  Should SFA not get the AQ from the Southland (vs. Sam Houston State on Saturday), let’s talk…
  • In conference tournament action, home teams are 31-13 (.705).  215 of 259 conference tournament games have been played at neutral sites.
  • The 4OT game between Arkansas-Little Rock and Arkansas State in the Sun Belt quarterfinals was the first conference tournament to go to four or more overtimes since the Syracuse-Connecticut 6OT game on March 12, 2009.  The 230 combined points was the third highest total of any game this year (Holy Cross 122, Sacred Heart 118, 2OT on Nov. 13; Southeast Missouri State 118, Murray State 115, 2OT on Mar. 1).
  • Through Friday’s conference tournament games, teams are averaging 65.4 Poss/G, 1.046 Pts/Poss, 23.4-53.9 FG (43.4%), 6.1-18.0 3pt (34.0%), 15.4-22.1 FT (70.0%), 33.7 rebounds, 11.4 assists, 5.8 steals, 3.4 blocks, 11.7 turnovers, 18.9 PFs and 68.4 PPG with an average margin of 10.7 PPG.

#KPI NCAA Tournament Field of 68 (as of Saturday, March 15, 7 a.m. ET): Automatic bids from the 32 conferences are determined by the top remaining seed if the AQ has not already been decided.  This list is comprised purely by math with no scrubbing. Conference tournament brackets are linked below.

  1. PAC-12 / #1 Arizona (30-3, 17-3 Pac-12), .374 / Best Win: at San Diego State .98
  2. SEC / #2 Florida (30-2, 19-0 SEC), .338 / Best Win: at Kentucky .81
  3. #3 Wisconsin (26-6, 13-6 Big Ten), .323 / Best Win: at Virginia .96
  4. MVC / #4 Wichita State (34-0, 21-0 MVC), .322 / Best Win: at Saint Louis .86
  5. #5 Kansas (24-9, 15-5 Big 12), .316 / Best Win: at Iowa State .84
  6. #6 Villanova (28-4, 16-3 Big East), .297 / Best Win: at Saint Joseph’s .84
  7. BIG TEN / #7 Michigan (24-7, 16-3 Big Ten), .278 / Best Win: at Wisconsin .92
  8. ACC / #8 Virginia (26-6, 17-2 ACC), .272 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .78
  9. BIG EAST / #9 Creighton (26-6, 16-4 Big East), .269 / Best Win: at Villanova 1.07
  10. #10 Duke (25-7, 14-5 ACC), .263 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .83
  11. #11 Syracuse (27-5, 14-5 ACC), .263 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .77
  12. MOUNTAIN WEST / #12 San Diego State (29-3, 18-2 Mountain West), .258 / Best Win: at Kansas .84
  13. BIG 12 / #13 Iowa State (25-7, 13-7 Big 12), .253 / Best Win: at BYU .69
  14. #14 New Mexico (26-6, 17-3 Mountain West), .250 / Best Win: at New Mexico State .75
  15. ATLANTIC 10 / #15 VCU (25-7, 13-4 A-10), .247 / Best Win: at Virginia .88
  16. AMERICAN / #16 Louisville (28-5, 17-3 American), .244 / Best Win: at Connecticut .87
  17. #17 Ohio State (25-8, 12-8 Big Ten), .242 / Best Win: at Wisconsin .88
  18. #18 UCLA (25-8, 14-6 Pac-12), .238 / Best Win: at Colorado .75
  19. #19 Connecticut (26-7, 14-6 American), .232 / Best Win: at Memphis .83
  20. #20 Cincinnati (27-6, 16-4 American), .232 / Best Win: at Louisville .90
  21. #21 Massachusetts (24-8, 11-7 A-10), .231 / Best Win: at George Washington .81
  22. #22 Saint Louis (26-6, 13-4 A-10), .230 / Best Win: at Saint Joseph’s .81
  23. #23 Michigan State (24-8, 13-6 Big Ten), .228 / Best Win: at Texas .75
  24. WCC / #24 Gonzaga (28-6, 18-3 WCC), .228 / Best Win: at St. Mary’s-CA .78
  25. #25 Kentucky (23-9, 13-6 SEC), .224 / Best Win: at Missouri .66
  26. #26 North Carolina (23-9, 13-6 ACC), .221 / Best Win: at Michigan State .84
  27. #27 Oklahoma (23-9, 12-7 Big 12), .215 / Best Win: at Baylor .72
  28. #28 George Washington (24-7, 12-5 A-10), .214 / Best Win: at Manhattan .78
  29. #29 Oregon (23-9, 11-9 Pac-12), .212 / Best Win: at UCLA .80
  30. #30 Baylor (24-10, 12-9 Big 12), .211 / Best Win: at Oklahoma State .66
  31. #31 Pittsburgh (25-8, 13-7 ACC), .198 / Best Win: at N.C. State .67
  32. #32 Texas (23-10, 12-8 Big 12), .198 / Best Win: at Baylor .78
  33. SUMMIT / #33 North Dakota State (25-6, 14-2 Summit), .195 / Best Win: at Western Michigan .70
  34. #34 Dayton (23-10, 11-7 A-10), .187 / Best Win: at Saint Louis .86
  35. IVY / #35 Harvard (26-4, 13-1 Ivy), .187 / Best Win: at Boston U. .71
  36. #36 Toledo (27-5, 15-4 MAC), .186 / Best Win: at Akron .61
  37. #37 Southern Miss (27-6, 14-4 C-USA), .184 / Best Win: at North Dakota State .81
  38. #38 Saint Joseph’s (22-9, 12-5 A-10), .182 / Best Win: at Dayton .71
  39. #39 BYU (23-11, 15-6 WCC), .179 / Best Win: at Stanford .66
  40. SOUTHLAND / #40 Stephen F. Austin (30-2, 19-0 Southland), .177 / Best Win: at Sam Houston State .68
  41. #41 Colorado (23-11, 12-9 Pac-12), .177 / Best Win: at Stanford .65
  42. #42 Stanford (21-12, 12-9 Pac-12), .174 / Best Win: at Connecticut .82
  43. #43 Memphis (23-9, 12-7 American), .168 / Best Win: at Louisville .91
  44. CONFERENCE USA / #44 Louisiana Tech (27-6, 15-3 C-USA), .166 / Best Win: at Oklahoma .75
  45. #45 Oklahoma State (21-12, 9-11 Big 12), .165 / Best Win: vs. Louisiana Tech .70
  46. #46 Green Bay (24-6, 14-3 Horizon), .162 / Best Win: at Cleveland State .68
  47. #47 N.C. State (21-12, 11-9 ACC), .155 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .79
  48. #48 Tennessee (21-11, 12-7 SEC), .154 / Best Win: vs. Virginia .70
  49. #49 Arizona State (21-11, 10-9 Pac-12), .153 / Best Win: vs. Arizona .66
  50. #50 Nebraska (19-12, 11-8 Big Ten), .153 / Best Win: at Michigan State .83
  51. #51 Kansas State (20-12, 10-9 Big 12), .152 / Best Win: vs. Gonzaga .71
  52. MAAC / #64 Manhattan (25-7, 18-5 MAAC), .130 / Best Win: at Canisius .56
  53. WAC / #68 New Mexico State (25-9, 14-4 WAC), .115 / Best Win: at New Mexico .89
  54. SUN BELT / #69 Georgia State (24-7, 17-1 Sun Belt), .114 / Best Win: at Western Kentucky .64
  55. MAC / #73 Western Michigan (22-9, 15-4 MAC), .112 / Best Win: at Ohio .67
  56. COLONIAL / #75 Delaware (25-9, 17-2 Colonial), .109 / Best Win: at William & Mary .56
  57. ATLANTIC SUN / #84 Mercer (26-8, 17-4 Atlantic Sun), .100 / Best Win: at Florida Gulf Coast .53
  58. OHIO VALLEY / #92 Eastern Kentucky (24-9, 14-5 OVC), .089 / Best Win: at IPFW .69
  59. MEAC / #98 North Carolina Central (27-5, 17-1 MEAC), .068 / Best Win: at N.C. State .65
  60. PATRIOT / #123 American (20-12, 16-5 Patriot), .048 / Best Win: at Boston U. .80
  61. HORIZON / #131 Milwaukee (21-13, 11-9 Horizon), .041 / Best Win: at Green Bay .83
  62. SOUTHERN / #147 Wofford (20-12, 14-5 Southern), .026 / Best Win: vs. Winthrop .48
  63. BIG SKY / #155 Weber State (18-11, 15-6 Big Sky), .016 / Best Win: North Dakota .35
  64. AMERICA EAST / #165 Stony Brook (23-9, 15-3 America East), .011 / Best Win: vs. Vermont .39
  65. BIG SOUTH / #166 Coastal Carolina (21-12, 14-5 Big South), .009 / Best Win: at Radford .47
  66. NORTHEAST / #234 Mount St. Mary’s (16-16, 12-7 Northeast), -.051 / Best Win: at Robert Morris .56
  67. BIG WEST / #236 Cal State-Northridge (17-17, 9-9 Big West), -.055 / Best Win: vs. UC-Santa Barbara .64
  68. SWAC / #238 Texas Southern (18-14, 14-6 SWAC), -.056 / Best Win; at Southern U. .46

#KPI NIT Tournament Field of 32 (as of Saturday, March 15, 7 a.m. ET): Automatic bids are awarded to teams who won their regular season conference title, but did not win their conference tournament.

  1. OHIO VALLEY / #52 Belmont (24-9, 15-3 OVC), .151 / Best Win: at Middle Tennessee .76
  2. #53 California (19-13, 10-9 Pac-12), .148 / Best Win: at Oregon .79
  3. #54 Florida State (19-13, 10-10 ACC), .148 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .78
  4. #55 Missouri (22-11, 10-10 SEC), .147 / Best Win: at N.C. State .63
  5. #56 Iowa (20-12, 9-10 Big Ten), .147 / Best Win: at Ohio State .82
  6. #57 Providence (22-11, 12-8 Big East), .146 / Best Win: vs. Creighton .61
  7. #58 Xavier (21-12, 11-9 Big East), .143 / Best Win: vs. Cincinnati .76
  8. #59 Minnesota (20-13, 9-11 Big Ten), .139 / Best Win: vs. Wisconsin .62
  9. #60 SMU (23-9, 12-7 American), .138 / Best Win: at Connecticut .87
  10. #61 Illinois (19-14, 8-12 Big Ten), .138 / Best Win: at Michigan State .82
  11. #62 St. Mary’s-CA (22-11, 12-8 WCC), .131 / Best Win: at Boise State .57
  12. #63 Arkansas (21-11, 10-9 SEC), .130 / Best Win: at Kentucky .77
  13. #65 St. John’s (20-12, 10-9 Big East), .129 / Best Win: at Providence .68
  14. #66 Ohio (23-11, 13-8 MAC), .123 / Best Win: at Akron .63
  15. #67 Middle Tennessee (24-9, 14-4 C-USA), .118 / Best Win: vs. Southern Miss .59
  16. #70 Clemson (20-12, 11-9 ACC), .119 / Best Win: vs. Duke .59
  17. MAAC / #71 Iona (22-10, 19-4 MAAC), .113 / Best Win: at Florida Gulf Coast .56
  18. #72 Georgetown (17-14, 8-11 Big East), .113 / Best Win: vs. VCU .65
  19. #74 San Francisco (21-11, 14-6 WCC), .111 / Best Win: vs. St. Mary’s-CA .42
  20. #76 Georgia (19-12, 13-6 SEC), .108 / Best Win: at Missouri .66
  21. #77 Utah (21-11, 10-10 Pac-12), .107 / Best Win: at California .56
  22. #78 Richmond (19-14, 9-9 A-10), .104 / Best Win: at William & Mary .55
  23. #79 LSU (19-13, 10-10 SEC), .103 / Best Win: vs. Saint Joseph’s .61
  24. #80 Cleveland State (21-11, 12-5 Horizon), .102 / Best Win: at Milwaukee .62
  25. PATRIOT / #89 Boston U. (24-10, 17-4 Patriot), .094 / Best Win: vs. UC-Irvine .61
  26. AMERICA EAST / #107 Vermont (22-10, 16-2 America East), .064 / Best Win: vs. Yale .42
  27. BIG WEST / #110 UC-Irvine (23-11, 14-4 Big West), .062 / Best Win: at Hawaii .50
  28. SOUTHERN / #126 Davidson (20-12, 16-2 Southern), .045 / Best Win: at Wofford .56
  29. ATLANTIC SUN / #148 Florida Gulf Coast (22-12, 16-5 Atlantic Sun), .025 / Best Win: at Mercer .49
  30. NORTHEAST / #150 Robert Morris (21-13, 16-3 Northeast), .024 / Best Win: vs. St. Francis-NY .46
  31. WAC / #159 Utah Valley (20-11, 14-4 WAC), .014 / Best Win: vs. New Mexico State .46
  32. BIG SOUTH / #164 High Point (16-14, 12-5 Big South), .011 / Best Win: at William & Mary .55

#KPI Top Games for Saturday, March 15:

  1. #18 UCLA vs. #1 Arizona (Saturday 6 p.m. ET, FOX Sports 1)
  2. #17 Ohio State vs. #7 Michigan (Saturday 1:40 p.m. ET, CBS)
  3. #23 Michigan State vs. #3 Wisconsin (Saturday 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS)
  4. #14 New Mexico vs. #12 San Diego State (Saturday 6 p.m. ET, CBS)
  5. #19 Connecticut vs. #16 Louisville (Saturday 6 p.m. ET, ESPN)
  6. #31 Pittsburgh vs. #8 Virginia (Saturday 1 p.m. ET, ESPN)
  7. #28 George Washington vs. #15 VCU (Saturday 4 p.m. ET, CBS Sports Network)
  8. #30 Baylor vs. #13 Iowa State (Saturday 9 p.m. ET, ESPN)
  9. #48 Tennessee vs. #2 Florida (Saturday 1 p.m. ET, ABC)
  10. #47 North Carolina State vs. #10 Duke (Saturday 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPN)

Notes on Rule ChangesNote that any discrepancy between #KPI and NCAA data is how games against Non Division-I schools are counted (approximately 3.8% of the data)

This is the #KPI

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