WEEK 15 #KPI BASKETBALL (as of 2/17/14)

Posted on February 17, 2014 by kevinpauga

#KPI resumes for each team ranked from highest to lowest #KPI value per game, in Excel (through February 16): https://kpisports.files.wordpress.com/2014/02/kpi-rank-by-game-thru-2-16-14.xlsx

#KPI by Team (through February 16): https://kpisports.files.wordpress.com/2014/02/2013-14-master-schedule-basketball-by-team-thru-feb-16.pdf

#KPI by Conference (through February 16): https://kpisports.files.wordpress.com/2014/02/2013-14-master-schedule-basketball-by-conference-thru-feb-16.pdf

#KPI by Game (through February 16): https://kpisports.files.wordpress.com/2014/02/2013-14-master-schedule-basketball-by-game-thru-feb-16.pdf

Data below compares the full season data from 2012-13 to full season data to date for the 2013-14 season (through February 16): https://kpisports.files.wordpress.com/2014/02/college-basketball-statistical-trends-through-2-16-14.pdf

#KPI Headlines:

  • From last week’s #KPI blog, an in-depth look at college basketball scheduling to supplement the look at college football scheduling last fall.
  • The current #KPI cut line to make the NCAA Tournament is No. 52 while the current cut line for the NIT is No. 89.  The NIT cut line will become higher as regular season champions who lose their conference tournaments become automatic qualifiers to the NIT.
  • The top seven teams in the #KPI are from seven different conferences.
  • Top increases in #KPI from non-conference to conference (among teams in the at-large #KPI field only): 1-Michigan (+72); 2-Saint Joseph’s (+56); 3-California (+55); 4-Virginia (+51); 5-Richmond (+44)
  • Top decreases in #KPI from non-conference to conference (among teams in the at-large #KPI field only): 1-Oregon (-124); 2-Oklahoma State (-91); 3-Baylor (-87); 4-Missouri (-60); 5-Massachusetts (-56)
  • There are some discrepancies as to who is eligible and who is not eligible for the SWAC Tournament (and hence their at-large bid).  I currently have Alabama State as the team with the best record among those likely eligible.
  • Outside the top-10 #KPI conferences, keep an eye on the Missouri Valley (if Wichita State loses in the conference tournament) and MAC as possible bid stealers.
  • Points are up 2.83 PPG this past week (Feb 10-16) compared to the same week last year.
  • Road Warriors: Stephen F. Austin leads all teams with 12 true road wins. Manhattan (11-3), Wichita State (10-0) and North Dakota State (10-5) all have double-digit road wins.  Saint Louis, Boston U., Indiana State and Morehead State have nine road wins apiece.
  • Rule Change Effects Different By Conference: There is a large margin between the highest and lowest conferences in some key rule change statistics.  The MAAC (25.2 FTA/G) leads all conferences in FTAs in conference games while the Patriot League attempts only 18.1 FTA/G, a difference of 7.1 free throw attempts per team, per game.  Games in the Summit League average 17.2 fouls per game, per team (the fewest) while the MAAC averages 21.0 PFs/G (the most), a difference of 3.8 fouls per game.  The MAAC averages the most possessions (70.1 per game) while the ACC (62.7 possessions per game) averages the fewest.
  • Close Games: In conference play, the American (14.5 PPG), America East (13.1 PPG), Conference USA (12.0 PPG) and Big East (11.5 PPG) have the highest margin per game.  The closest games have been played in the Northeast (8.7 PPG), Colonial (8.9 PPG), MAC (9.0 PPG), Big South (9.3 PPG) and Mountain West (9.4 PPG).
  • Winning Percentage in Conference Home Games (by conference): 1-Big Sky (55-21, .724); 2-SEC (60-24, .714); 3-Ivy (22-9, .710); 4-Missouri Valley (48-22, .686); 5-Pac-12 (50-23, .685); 6-SWAC (39-20, .661); 7-Atlantic Sun (46-25, .648); 8-Big 12 (39-22, .639); 9-Conference USA (56-32, .636); 10-Atlantic 10 (43-26, .623); 11-MAAC (54-34, .614); t12-Southland (55-35, .611); t12-WCC (44-28, .611); t12-Colonial (33-21, .611); 15-America East (34-22, .607); 16-Southern (40-26, .606)
  • Winning Percentage in Conference Road Games (by conference): 1-WAC (24-26, .480); 2-Big South (34-37, .479); 3-Sun Belt (29-32, .475); 4-Big Ten (34-42, .447); 5-Big West (21-27, .438); 6-MAC (31-41, .431); t7-Patriot (30-40, .429); t7-Horizon (24-32, .429); t7-Northeast (24-32, .429); t7-Summit (18-24, .429); 11-ACC (39-53, .424); 12-American (26-36, .419); 13-Big East (26-37, .413); 14-Mountain West (28-41, .406); 15-MEAC (29-43, .403); 16-Ohio Valley (30-46, .395)
  • If the #KPI did not adjust for home/road/neutral sites, the #KPI top-10 would be: 1-Syracuse; 2-Arizona; 3-Kansas; 4-Wisconsin; 5-Florida; 6-Villanova; 7-Creighton; 8-Wichita State; 9-Duke; 10-Ohio State.

#KPI Basketball Field of 68 (through games of February 16, 2014): Automatic bids from the 32 conferences are determined (for now) by best conference record, then best overall record, then best #KPI.

  1. PAC-12 / #1 Arizona (23-2, 10-2 Pac-12), .357 / Best Win: at San Diego State .99
  2. BIG 12 / #2 Kansas (19-6, 10-2 Big 12), .348 / Best Win: at Iowa State .87
  3. ACC / #3 Syracuse (25-0, 12-0 ACC), .347 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .79
  4. #4 Wisconsin (21-5, 8-5 Big Ten), .347 / Best Win: at Virginia .96
  5. SEC / #5 Florida (23-2, 12-0 SEC), .327 / Best Win: at Kentucky .87
  6. MVC / #6 Wichita State (27-0, 14-0 MVC), .321 / Best Win: at Saint Louis .98
  7. #7 Villanova (22-3, 10-2 Big East), .313 / Best Win: at Saint Joseph’s .84
  8. BIG EAST / #8 Creighton (21-4, 11-2 Big East), .296 / Best Win: at Villanova 1.09
  9. #9 Virginia (21-5, 12-1 ACC), .281 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .80
  10. ATLANTIC 10 / #10 Saint Louis (23-2, 10-0 A-10), .280 / Best Win: at Saint Joseph’s .81
  11. #11 Ohio State (20-6, 7-6 Big Ten), .279 / Best Win: at Wisconsin .89
  12. BIG TEN / #12 Michigan State (21-5, 10-3 Big Ten), .275 / Best Win: at Texas .88
  13. #13 Michigan (18-7, 10-3 Big Ten), .273 / Best Win: at Wisconsin .92
  14. #14 Duke (20-5, 9-3 ACC), .267 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .86
  15. #15 Massachusetts (20-5, 7-4 A-10), .262 / Best Win: at George Washington .79
  16. #16 UCLA (20-5, 9-3 Pac-12), .258 / Best Win: at Colorado .82
  17. #17 Kentucky (19-6, 9-3 SEC), .258 / Best Win: at Missouri .74
  18. AMERICAN / #18 Cincinnati (23-3, 12-1 American), .258 / Best Win: at Louisville .88
  19. #19 Iowa State (19-5, 7-5 Big 12), .257 / Best Win: at Oklahoma State .65
  20. #20 Texas (20-5, 9-3 Big 12), .253 / Best Win: at North Carolina .74
  21. MOUNTAIN WEST / #21 San Diego State (22-2, 11-1 Mountain West), .245 / Best Win: at Kansas .90
  22. #22 New Mexico (19-5, 10-2 Mountain West), .237 / Best Win: at New Mexico State .72
  23. #23 VCU (20-6, 8-3 A-10), .223 / Best Win: at Virginia .88
  24. #24 Iowa (19-6, 8-4 Big Ten), .223 / Best Win: at Ohio State .87
  25. #25 Oklahoma (19-7, 8-5 Big 12), .220 / Best Win: at Texas .83
  26. #26 Connecticut (20-5, 8-4 American), .218 / Best Win: at Memphis .81
  27. #27 North Carolina (17-7, 7-4 ACC), .218 / Best Win: at Michigan State .93
  28. WCC / #28 Gonzaga (23-4, 13-1 WCC), .216 / Best Win: at San Francisco .55
  29. #29 Louisville (21-4, 10-2 American), .208 / Best Win: at Connecticut .89
  30. #30 Pittsburgh (20-6, 8-5 ACC), .199 / Best Win: at N.C. State .69
  31. #31 Arizona State (19-6, 8-4 Pac-12), .199 / Best Win: at California .73
  32. MAC / #32 Toledo (21-4, 9-3 MAC), .197 / Best Win: at Akron .69
  33. #33 George Washington (19-6, 7-4 A-10), .192 / Best Win: at Manhattan .74
  34. #34 California (17-8, 8-4 Pac-12), .187 / Best Win: at Oregon .73
  35. #35 Stanford (16-8, 7-5 Pac-12), .187 / Best Win: at Connecticut .83
  36. #36 Kansas State (17-8, 7-5 Big 12), .187 / Best Win: vs. Gonzaga .72
  37. #37 Missouri (18-7, 6-6 SEC), .185 / Best Win: at N.C. State .65
  38. #38 Oklahoma State (16-9, 4-8 Big 12), .185 / Best Win: vs. Louisiana Tech .67
  39. #39 Colorado (19-7, 8-5 Pac-12), .183 / Best Win: vs. Kansas .56
  40. SUMMIT / #40 North Dakota State (20-6, 9-2 Summit), .180 / Best Win: at Western Michigan .58
  41. #41 Oregon (16-8, 4-8 Pac-12), .178 / Best Win: at Mississippi .64
  42. #42 Minnesota (17-9, 6-7 Big Ten), .177 / Best Win: at Richmond .76
  43. #43 Dayton (17-8, 5-5 A-10), .173 / Best Win: vs. Gonzaga .69
  44. #44 Saint Joseph’s (17-7, 7-3 A-10), .172 / Best Win: at Dayton .68
  45. #45 Memphis (19-6, 8-4 American), .171 / Best Win: at Louisville .90
  46. #46 Southern Miss (21-5, 8-3 C-USA), .171 / Best Win: at North Dakota State .79
  47. #47 BYU (18-10, 10-5 WCC), .166 / Best Win: at Stanford .70
  48. IVY / #48 Harvard (20-4, 7-1 Ivy), .163 / Best Win: at Boston U. 71
  49. HORIZON / #49 Green Bay (21-5, 11-2 Horizon), .161 / Best Win: at Cleveland State .66
  50. #50 Richmond (17-8, 7-3 A-10), .159 / Best Win: at William & Mary .56
  51. OHIO VALLEY / #51 Belmont (20-8, 11-2 OVC), .157 / Best Win: at Middle Tennessee .75
  52. #52 Baylor (16-9, 4-8 Big 12), .157 / Best Win: at Oklahoma State .67
  53. SOUTHLAND / #53 Stephen F. Austin (24-2, 13-0 Southland), .155 / Best Win: at Sam Houston State .69
  54. CONFERENCE USA / #68 Louisiana Tech (21-5, 9-2 C-USA), .124 / Best Win: at Oklahoma .76
  55. COLONIAL / #70 Delaware (19-7, 11-0 Colonial), .123 / Best Win: at William & Mary .57
  56. ATLANTIC SUN / #76 Mercer (21-6, 12-2 Atlantic Sun), .109 / Best Win: at Mississippi .62
  57. MAAC / #85 Iona (17-8, 14-2 MAAC), .096 / Best Win: at Canisius .59
  58. PATRIOT / #97 Boston U. (19-8, 12-2 Patriot), .086 / Best Win: at Quinnipiac .61
  59. SUN BELT / #100 Georgia State (17-7, 10-1 Sun Belt), .081 / Best Win: at Western Kentucky .64
  60. BIG WEST / #111 UC-Irvine (17-9, 8-2 Big West), .063 / Best Win: at Washington .48
  61. AMERICA EAST / #117 Vermont (17-9, 11-1 America East), .053 / Best Win: at Yale .50
  62. MEAC / #128 North Carolina Central (19-5, 10-1 MEAC), .044 / Best Win: at N.C. State .67
  63. BIG SKY / #144 Weber State (14-7, 11-2 Big Sky), .031 / Best Win: Northern Colorado .30
  64. NORTHEAST / #151 Robert Morris (16-11, 11-1 Northeast), .028 / Best Win: at Bryant .51
  65. SOUTHERN / #155 Davidson (15-11, 11-1 Southern), .025 / Best Win: at Wofford .51
  66. WAC / #161 Utah Valley (15-9, 9-2 WAC), .018 / Best Win: Grand Canyon .32
  67. BIG SOUTH / #191 Coastal Carolina (16-10, 9-3 Big South), -.016 / Best Win: at Radford .43
  68. SWAC / #245 Alabama State (14-9, 8-4 SWAC), -.065 / Best Win: Alabama A&M .11
  69. (OUT) #54 Ohio (18-7, 8-4 MAC), .154 / Best Win: at Richmond .69
  70. (OUT) #55 Xavier (17-8, 7-5 Big East), .152 / Best Win: vs. Cincinnati .81
  71. (OUT) #56 SMU (20-6, 9-4 American), .150 / Best Win: vs. Cincinnati .68
  72. (OUT) #57 St. Mary’s-CA (19-8, 9-5 WCC), .150 / Best Win: at Boise State .61
  73. (OUT) #58 Tennessee (15-10, 6-6 SEC), .148 / Best Win: vs. Virginia .68
  74. (OUT) #59 Nebraska (14-10, 6-6 Big Ten), .146 / Best Win: at Michigan State .92
  75. (OUT) #60 N.C. State (16-9, 6-6 ACC), .145 / Best Win: at Tennessee .61
  76. (OUT) #61 Florida State (15-10, 6-7 ACC), .144 / Best Win: at Clemson .68

Conference #KPI Rankings (through games of February 16, 2014)

  1. Big 12 (163-87, .652 / 102-26, .797 Non-Conf) .178 KPI:
  2. Big Ten (198-108, .647 / 122-32, .792 Non-Conf) .176 KPI:
  3. Pac-12 (193-106, .645 / 119-32, .788 Non-Conf) .152 KPI:
  4. Big East (159-94, .628 / 96-31, .756 Non-Conf) .139 KPI:
  5. ACC (231-145, .614 / 139-53, .723 Non-Conf)  .130 KPI:
  6. Atlantic 10 (200-1123, .619 / 131-54, .708 Non-Conf) .120 KPI:
  7. SEC (209-136, .606 / 125-52, .706 Non-Conf) .117 KPI:
  8. American (154-97, .614 / 92-35, .724 Non-Conf) .088 KPI:
  9. Mountain West (160-115, .582 / 91-46, .664 Non-Conf) .073 KPI:
  10. WCC (155-113, .578 / 83-41, .669 Non-Conf) .071 KPI:
  11. MAC (158-132, .545 / 86-60, .589 Non-Conf) .032 KPI:
  12. Missouri Valley (145-119, .549 / 75-49, .605 Non-Conf) .028 KPI:
  13. Horizon (127-116, .523 / 71-60, .542 Non-Conf) .011 KPI:
  14. Summit (108-101, .517 / 66-59, .528 Non-Conf) .008 KPI:
  15. Conference USA (220-187, .541 / 132-99, .571 Non-Conf) -.002 KPI:
  16. Sun Belt (120-122, .496 / 59-61, .492 Non-Conf) -.016 KPI:
  17. Ivy (92-87, .514 / 61-56, .521 Non-Conf) -.024 KPI:
  18. Colonial (113-124, .477 / 59-70, .457 Non-Conf) -.025 KPI:
  19. MAAC (136-150, 476 / 48-62, .436 Non-Conf) -.030 KPI:
  20. Big West (108-116, .482 / 60-68, .469 Non-Conf) -.038 KPI:
  21. Patriot (123-132, .482 / 53-62, .461 Non-Conf) -.049 KPI:
  22. Atlantic Sun (124-142, .466 / 53-71, .427 Non-Conf) -.061 KPI:
  23. Ohio Valley (150-171, .467 / 74-95, .438 Non-Conf) -.063 KPI:
  24. WAC (105-120, .467 / 55-70, .440 Non-Conf) -.065 KPI:
  25. Big Sky (119-138, .463 / 43-62, .410 Non-Conf) -.068 KPI:
  26. Southland (161-184, .467 / 71-94, .430 Non-Conf) -.075 KPI:
  27. Big South (146-166, .468 / 75-95, .441 Non-Conf) -.086 KPI:
  28. Southern (130-160, .448 / 64-94, .405 Non-Conf) -.095 KPI:
  29. Northeast (106-145, .422 / 50-89, .360 Non-Conf) -.107 KPI:
  30. SWAC (92-142, .393 / 33-83, .284 Non-Conf) -.122 KPI:
  31. America East (95-136, .411 / 39-80, .328 Non-Conf) -.124 KPI:
  32. MEAC (122-199, .380 / 49-126, .280 Non-Conf) -.139 KPI:

Top 10 #KPI Wins – ROAD GAMES ONLY (through games of February 16, 2014)

  1. +1.09     #8 Creighton 96, #7 Villanova 68 (Jan 20)
  2. +0.99     #1 Arizona 69, #21 San Diego State 60 (Nov 14)
  3. +0.98     #6 Wichita State 70, #10 Saint Louis 65 (Dec 1)
  4. +0.96     #4 Wisconsin 48, #9 Virginia 38 (Dec 4)
  5. +0.95     #99 Northwestern 65, #4 Wisconsin 56 (Jan 29)
  6. +0.93     #27 North Carolina 79, #12 Michigan State 65 (Dec 4)
  7. +0.92     13 Michigan 77, #4 Wisconsin 70 (Jan 18)
  8. +0.92     #59 Nebraska 60, #12 Michigan State 51 (Feb 16)
  9. +0.90     #21 San Diego State 61, #2 Kansas 57 (Jan 5)
  10. +0.90     #45 Memphis 73, #29 Louisville 67 (Jan 9)

Top 10 #KPI Wins – NEUTRAL SITE GAMES ONLY (through games of February 16, 2014)

  1. +0.81     #55 Xavier 64, #18 Cincinnati 47 (Dec 14)
  2. +0.78     #4 Wisconsin 63, #10 Saint Louis 57 (Nov 26)
  3. +0.74     #33 George Washington 60, #8 Creighton 53 (Dec 1)
  4. +0.73     #14 Duke 80, #16 UCLA 63 (Dec 19)
  5. +0.72     #21 San Diego State 86, #8 Creighton 80 (Nov 29)
  6. +0.72     #36 Kansas State 72, #28 Gonzaga 62 (Dec 21)
  7. +0.71     #2 Kansas 80, #22 New Mexico 63 (Dec 14)
  8. +0.70     #2 Kansas 94, #14 Duke 83 (Nov 12)
  9. +0.70     #15 Massachusetts 81, #22 New Mexico 65 (Nov 22)
  10. +0.70     #27 North Carolina 93, #29 Louisville 84 (Nov 24)

Top 10 #KPI Wins – HOME GAMES ONLY (through games of February 16, 2014)

  1. +0.68     #58 Tennessee 87, #9 Virginia 52 (Dec 30)
  2. +0.68     #56 SMU 76, #18 Cincinnati 55 (Feb 8)
  3. +0.67     #8 Creighton 101, #7 Villanova 80 (Feb 16)
  4. +0.67     #3 Syracuse 78, #7 Villanova 62 (Dec 28)
  5. +0.67     #4 Wisconsin 59, #5 Florida 53 (Nov 12)
  6. +0.65     #31 Arizona State 69, #1 Arizona 66 (Feb 14)
  7. +0.65     #34 California 60, #1 Arizona 58 (Feb 1)
  8. +0.65     #29 Louisville 69, #46 Southern Miss 38 (Nov 29)
  9. +0.64     #82 Eastern Michigan 65, #32 Toledo 44 (Feb 15)
  10. +0.64     #26 Connecticut 65, #5 Florida 64 (Dec 2)

#KPI Numbers

  • The current adjustments are +0.16 for road teams, -0.17 for home teams and -0.04 for neutral site teams.
  • The average win is worth +0.19.  The average loss is worth -0.20.
  • Scoring (by conference, all games): 1-Big 12 (76.6 PPG); 2-Pac-12 (75.4 PPG); 3-WCC (74.9 PPG); 4-Ohio Valley (74.1 PPG); 5-Big South (73.8 PPG); 6-Big East (73.6 PPG); 7-American (73.6 PPG); 8-MAAC (72.9 PPG); 9-Southland (72.8 PPG); 10-Horizon (72.5 PPG)
  • Scoring (by conference, conference games only): 1-Ohio Valley (74.7 PPG); 2-Big 12 (74.1 PPG); 3-Big South (74.1 PPG); 4-MAAC (73.9 PPG); 5-Northeast (73.7 PPG); 6-Southland (73.6 PPG): 7-Atlantic Sun (72.0 PPG); 8-WCC (71.9 PPG); 9-Pac-12 (71.2 PPG); 10-Southern (71.0 PPG)

#KPI Facts

  • Home teams are 2,974-1,321 (.692). Home teams are 1,307-837 (.610) in conference play and 1,667-484 (.775) in non-conference play. There have been 352 games (7.6% of all games) played at a neutral site.  350 of 352 neutral site games are non-conference.  46.2% of all games are conference games to date.
  • Non-Conference #KPI: 1-Wisconsin; 2-Arizona; 3-Massachusetts; 4-Wichita State; 5-Ohio State; 6-Syracuse; 7-Kansas; 8-Iowa State; 9-Oregon; 10-Villanova
  • Conference #KPI: 1-Michigan; 2-Virginia; 3-Florida; 4-Kansas; 5-Saint Louis; 6-Syracuse; 7-Arizona; 8-Creighton; 9-Villanova; 10-UCLA
  • #KPI in Home Games Only: 1-Kansas; 2-Duke; 3-Florida; 4-Syracuse; 5-Kentucky; 6-UCLA; 7-Arizona; 8-Creighton; 9-Kansas State; 10-Colorado
  • #KPI in Road/Neutral Games Only: 1-Arizona; 2-Wisconsin; 3-Syracuse; 4-Wichita State; 5-Virginia; 6-Villanova; 7-Michigan State; 8-Ohio State; 9-San Diego State; 10-Michigan
  • #KPI Only in Top-25 Games: 1-Wichita State (1-0); 2-Arizona (4-0); 3-Louisiana Tech (1-0); 4-Massachusetts (1-0); 5-Syracuse (2-0); 6-Charlotte (1-0); 7-Creighton (2-1); 8-San Diego State (2-1); 9-Wisconsin (6-2); 10-Michigan State (5-2)
  • #KPI Only in Top-50 Games: 1-Wichita State (2-0); 2-Northern Colorado (1-0); 3-Syracuse (7-0); 4-Cincinnati (4-1); 5-Arizona (8-2); 6-San Diego State (2-1); 7-Creighton (5-2); 8-Wisconsin (8-3); 9-Florida (5-2); 10-Michigan State (6-3)
  • #KPI Only in Top-100 Games: 1-Wichita State (5-0); 2-Syracuse (12-0); 3-Arizona (12-2); 4-Villanova (9-3); 5-Florida (11-2); 6-Saint Louis (7-2); 7-Wisconsin (14-4); 8-Cincinnati (8-3); 9-San Diego State (8-2); 10-Michigan (10-5)
  • #KPI Strength of Schedule: 1-Kansas (.163); 2-Wisconsin (.136); 3-Michigan (.125); 4-Iowa State (.114); 5-Northwestern (.113); 6-Duke (.111); 7-Kansas State (.110); 8-Michigan State (.108); 9-Nebraska (.108); 10-Ohio State (.107)
  • #KPI Strength of Schedule (with home/away, at the behest of this: https://twitter.com/kenpomeroy/status/434148404348743680): 1-Kansas (.125); 2-Michigan (.125); 3-Wisconsin (.083); 4-Nebraska (.078); 5-Boston College (.075); 6-Florida State (.074); 7-DePaul (.073); 8-Villanova (.073); 9-Northwestern (.068); 10-Stanford (.064)
  • 9.3% of all games involving a Division I team are currently against Non-Division I teams.  Division I teams are 419-14 (.968) in those games by a margin of 90.1 PPG to 60.5 PPG.  Non-Division I games also count in the #KPI rankings.  All games against Non-Division I teams count as one opponent (currently No. 345 in the #KPI).

#KPI Top Games This Week (February 17-23, 2014)

  1. #3 Syracuse at #14 Duke (Saturday 7 p.m. ET, ESPN)
  2. #20 Texas at #2 Kansas (Saturday 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPNU)
  3. #12 Michigan State at #13 Michigan (Sunday 12 p.m. ET, CBS)
  4. #4 Wisconsin at #24 Iowa (Saturday 12 p.m. ET, ESPN2)
  5. #23 VCU at #15 Massachusetts (Friday 7 p.m. ET, ESPN2)
  6. #20 Texas at #19 Iowa State (Tuesday 7 p.m. ET, ESPN2)
  7. #1 Arizona at #39 Colorado (Saturday 9 p.m. ET, ESPN)
  8. #14 Duke at #27 North Carolina (Thursday 9 p.m. ET, ESPN)
  9. #33 George Washington at #10 Saint Louis (Saturday 8 p.m. ET, FOX Sports Midwest/Comcast SportsNet Mid-Atlantic)
  10. #21 San Diego State at #22 New Mexico (Saturday 10 p.m. ET, ESPN2)

Notes on Rule Changes: Note that the discrepancy between #KPI and NCAA statistics is how games against Non Division-I schools are counted (approximately 4.7% of the data)

Points Per Game: Up 5.2% (3.53 PPG); from 67.5 PPG to 71.0 PPG. Through this time last season, teams were averaging 67.1 PPG (up 5.8% this year over the same time period). This is the highest scoring average since 2001-02 (71.26 PPG).  Points Per Possession have increased at a rate of 1.4 points per possession (up 2.2%).  In 2012-13, scoring decreased 0.9 PPG (1.3%) between non-conference and conference play.  In 2013-14, scoring has decreased 2.2 PPG (3.0%) from 72.0 PPG in non-conference to 69.9 PPG in conference.

In 2012-13, 52.3% of points came from made 2-pt FGs, 27.4% from made 3-pt FGs and 20.3% from made free throws.  In 2013-14, 51.2% of points have come from made 2-pt FGs, 26.7% from made 3-pt FGs and 22.0% from made free throws.  The net increase is +1.08 points from made 2′s, +0.48 points from made 3′s and +1.96 points from made free throws.  In conference games only this year, 50.8% of points come from made 2-pt FGs, 26.9% from made 3′s and 22.3% from made free throws.

Average Margin Per Game: +13.6 PPG: The average margin in 2012-13 was +13.1 PPG, but was +13.6 PPG through the same period last season.  The average margin in non-conference play is 16.2 PPG compared to 10.5 PPG in conference play.  25% of games have been decided by 5 points or less, 49% of games have been decided by 10 points or less and 21% of games have been decided by more than 20 points.

Possessions Per Game: Up 2.2% (1.44 possession per game); from 66.7 to 68.1 possessions per game per team.  Possessions are 2.7 possessions per game lower (down 3.8%) in conference play than non-conference play this year.

Field Goal Attempts: Up 1.4% (0.78 FGA per game); from 55.0 to 55.8 FGA: Team field goal percentage is at 44.0%, up from 43.3% last year.  Field goals made are up 2.9% (0.70 per game). Field goal attempts are at their highest mark since 2002-03 (56.4 FGA/game).  Teams are attempting 2.31 fewer field goals in conference play than non-conference (down 4.1%), but FGAs are only down 0.2% per possession in conference play.

3-pt Field Goal Attempts: Up 1.5% (0.27 3-ptA per game); from 18.1 to 18.4 3-ptA: 3-pt field goal percentage is at 34.4%, up from 34.1% last year.  3-pt field goal attempts are at their highest number since an all-time high in 2007-08 (19.1 per game).

Free Throw Attempts: Up 13.8% (2.73 FTA per game); from 19.8 to 22.5 FTA: Team free throw percentage is at 69.6% (69.3% last year).  Teams are making 1.96 more free throws per game this year (up 14.3%).  Free throw attempts are at their highest mark since 1993-94 (23.2 FTA/game).  Free Throw Attempts fell from 23.5 in November to 21.9 in December, but rose to 22.3 per game in January.  Teams are averaging 21.9 FTAs in February.

Turnovers: Down 4.8% (0.64 turnovers per game); 13.3 to 12.7 turnovers: Turnovers per possession are down 6.8% while steals per possession are down 8.6%.  More plays that used to be steals/turnovers are being called fouls.

Personal Fouls: Up 9.1% (1.61 fouls per game); 17.7 to 19.3 fouls: Personal fouls are at their highest mark since 2000-01 (19.92 fouls per game).  Fouls per possession are up 6.8%.  Fouls are down 2.4% per possession from non-conference to conference this season.

Comparative analysis includes data from all games involving Division-I teams for the 2013-14 season.  Historical data is courtesy of the NCAA and can be found here.

Overall data differs slightly from NCAA data due to inclusion of games involving Division-I teams vs. Non Division-I teams, currently 4.9% of the data.

This is the #KPI.

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