WEEK 13.5 #KPI BASKETBALL (as of 2/7/14)

#KPI Headlines:

  • Wichita State sneaks into the top-4: Wichita State improved to 24-0 with a win at Indiana State Wednesday (their second best win of the year behind at Saint Louis) and moved into the top-4 #KPI for the first time.  Their remaining SOS is 198 (-.026), the lowest of any team in the top-32 #KPI.  No. 74 Indiana State is the only other Missouri Valley Conference member in the top-100 #KPI.
  • Top-10 Conferences Dominate the At-Large Bids: The Top-10 #KPI conferences (Big 12, Big Ten, Pac-12, Big East, ACC, A-10, SEC, American, WCC and Mountain West) account for 45 of the top-50 #KPI.  The exceptions? No. 4 Wichita State (MVC), No. 33 Toledo (MAC), No. 35 Southern Miss (C-USA), No. 40 Harvard (Ivy) and No. 49 North Dakota State (Summit).  No. 54 Belmont (OVC) and No. 59 Green Bay (Horizon), who have wins over North Carolina and Virginia respectively, are also lurking.
  • South & Midwest Geography: Memphis and Indianapolis (which host the South and Midwest Regions respectively) are just 465 miles apart.  The different interpretations between proximity and geographic fit will be important in bracketing for teams in the Big Ten, Big 12, SEC, ACC and Missouri Valley.
  • 11-16 Logjam: The difference between No. 11 Massachusetts and No. 16 Cincinnati is .003, basically nothing.
  • Cleveland State and Oakland combined for 29 made 3’s on Thursday.  Charleston Southern and Western Carolina (12/18) and Creighton and Villanova (1/20) both combined for 31 made 3’s in their respective games, the highest of any game this season.
  • Texas out-rebounded TCU by 31 on Tuesday was the largest margin in any conference game this season.

#KPI by Team (through February 6): https://kpisports.files.wordpress.com/2014/02/2013-14-master-schedule-basketball-by-team-thru-feb-6.pdf

#KPI by Conference (through February 6): https://kpisports.files.wordpress.com/2014/02/2013-14-master-schedule-basketball-by-conference-thru-feb-6.pdf

#KPI by Game (through February 6): https://kpisports.files.wordpress.com/2014/02/2013-14-master-schedule-basketball-by-game-thru-feb-6.pdf

Data below compares the full season data from 2012-13 to full season data to date for the 2013-14 season through February 6: https://kpisports.files.wordpress.com/2014/02/college-basketball-statistical-trends-through-2-6-14.pdf

#KPI Basketball Field of 68 (through games of February 6, 2014): Automatic bids from the 32 conferences are determined (for now) by best conference record, then best overall record, then best #KPI.

  1. BIG 12 / #1 Kansas (17-5, 8-1 Big 12), .385 / Best Win: at Iowa State .91
  2. PAC-12 / #2 Arizona (22-1, 9-1 Pac-12), .379 / Best Win: at San Diego State 1.04
  3. BIG EAST / #3 Villanova (20-2, 8-1 Big East), .345 / Best Win: at Saint Joseph’s .79
  4. MVC / #4 Wichita State (24-0, 11-0 MVC), .333 / Best Win: at Saint Louis .97
  5. BIG TEN / #5 Michigan State (20-3, 9-1 Big Ten), .328 / Best Win: at Texas .90
  6. ACC / #6 Syracuse (22-0, 9-0 ACC), .326 / Best Win: vs. Villanova .69
  7. #7 Wisconsin (18-5, 5-5 Big Ten), .321 / Best Win: at Virginia .92
  8. SEC / #8 Florida (20-2, 9-0 SEC), .298 / Best Win: vs. Memphis .60
  9. #9 Creighton (18-3, 8-1 Big East), .296 / Best Win: at Villanova 1.12
  10. #10 Iowa State (17-4, 5-4 Big 12), .281 / Best Win: at Oklahoma State .77
  11. #11 Massachusetts (18-4, 5-3 A-10), .275 / Best Win: at Ohio .76
  12. #12 Ohio State (18-5, 5-5 Big Ten), .275 / Best Win: at Wisconsin .87
  13. MOUNTAIN WEST / #13 San Diego State (20-1, 9-0 Mountain West), .274 / Best Win: at Kansas .94
  14. #14 Duke (18-5, 7-3 ACC), .273 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .94
  15. #15 Michigan (17-5, 9-1 Big Ten), .273 / Best Win: at Michigan State .95
  16. AMERICAN / #16 Cincinnati (22-2, 11-0 American), .272 / Best Win: at Memphis .89
  17. #17 Virginia (18-5, 9-1 ACC), .264 / Best Win: at Pittsburgh .88
  18. #18 Kentucky (17-5, 7-2 SEC), .263 / Best Win: at Missouri .75
  19. #19 Texas (18-4, 7-2 Big 12), .257 / Best Win: at North Carolina .71
  20. ATLANTIC 10 / #20 Saint Louis (21-2, 8-0 A-10), .257 / Best Win: at Saint Joseph’s .76
  21. #21 UCLA (17-5, 6-3 Pac-12), .246 / Best Win: at Colorado .83
  22. #22 New Mexico (18-4, 9-1 Mountain West), .242 / Best Win: at New Mexico State .69
  23. WEST COAST / #23 Gonzaga (21-3, 11-1 WCC), .235 / Best Win: at West Virginia .58
  24. #24 VCU (19-4, 7-1 A-10), .234 / Best Win: at Virginia .85
  25. #25 Pittsburgh (19-4, 7-3 ACC), .233 / Best Win: at N.C. State .66
  26. #26 Oklahoma State (16-6, 4-5 Big 12), .227 / Best Win: vs. Louisiana Tech .65
  27. #27 Louisville (19-4, 8-2 American), .222 / Best Win: at Connecticut .86
  28. #28 Oklahoma (17-6, 6-4 Big 12), .216 / Best Win: at Texas .85
  29. #29 George Washington (18-4, 6-2 A-10), .211 / Best Win: vs. Creighton .74
  30. #30 Iowa (17-6, 6-4 Big Ten), .209 / Best Win: at Ohio State .88
  31. #31 Connecticut (17-5, 5-4 American), .206 / Best Win: at Memphis .84
  32. #32 Stanford (15-7, 6-4 Pac-12), .204 / Best Win: at Connecticut .81
  33. MAC / #33 Toledo (19-3, 7-2 MAC), .203 / Best Win: at Akron .69
  34. #34 North Carolina (15-7, 5-4 ACC), .200 / Best Win: at Michigan State 1.01
  35. #35 Southern Miss (19-3, 6-1 C-USA), .200 / Best Win: at North Dakota State .76
  36. #36 Colorado (17-6, 6-4 Pac-12), .191 / Best Win: vs. Kansas .58
  37. #37 Oregon (15-7, 3-7 Pac-12), .190 / Best Win: at Mississippi .70
  38. #38 Memphis (17-5, 7-3 American), .182 / Best Win: at Louisville .89
  39. #39 California (15-8, 6-4 Pac-12), .182 / Best Win: at Oregon .76
  40. IVY / #40 Harvard (17-3, 4-0 Ivy), .181 / Best Win: at Boston U. 65
  41. #41 Arizona State (17-6, 6-4 Pac-12), .177 / Best Win: at California .69
  42. #42 Florida State (14-8, 5-5 ACC), .175 / Best Win: at Clemson .79
  43. #43 Missouri (16-6, 4-5 SEC), .173 / Best Win: at N.C. State .63
  44. #44 Minnesota (15-8, 4-6 Big Ten), .169 / Best Win: at Richmond .73
  45. #45 Kansas State (15-7, 5-4 Big 12), .169 / Best Win: vs. Gonzaga .73
  46. #46 Dayton (15-8, 3-5 A-10), .166 / Best Win: vs. Gonzaga .70
  47. #47 Tennessee (14-8, 5-4 SEC), .165 / Best Win: at LSU .73
  48. #48 Providence (16-7, 6-4 Big East), .163 / Best Win: vs. Creighton .62
  49. SUMMIT / #49 North Dakota State (17-6, 6-2 Summit), .161 / Best Win: at Utah Valley .55
  50. #50 BYU (16-9, 8-4 WCC), .158 / Best Win: at Stanford .74
  51. OHIO VALLEY / #54  Belmont (18-8, 9-2 OVC), .153 / Best Win: at North Carolina .71
  52. HORIZON / #59 Green Bay (19-4, 9-1 Horizon), .143 / Best Win: vs. Virginia .52
  53. SOUTHLAND / #64 Stephen F. Austin (21-2, 10-0 Southland), .135 / Best Win: at Sam Houston State .44
  54. CONFERENCE USA / #69 UTEP (17-6, 7-1 C-USA), .122 / Best Win: at Middle Tennessee .67
  55. COLONIAL / #71 Delaware (18-7, 10-0 Colonial), .121 / Best Win: at William & Mary .60
  56. ATLANTIC SUN / #79 Mercer (18-6, 9-2 Atlantic Sun), .109 / Best Win: at Mississippi .68
  57. BIG WEST / #80 UC-Santa Barbara (15-6, 6-2 Big West), .107 / Best Win: at UNLV .66
  58. SUN BELT / #81  Georgia State (17-6, 10-0 Sun Belt), .107 / Best Win: at Western Kentucky .71
  59. MAAC / #117 Canisius (16-7, 10-2 MAAC), .061 / Best Win: at Quinnipiac. 58
  60. PATRIOT / #127 American (14-8, 10-1 Patriot), .050 / Best Win: at Holy Cross .53
  61. MEAC / #134 North Carolina Central (16-5, 8-1 MEAC), .043 / Best Win: at N.C. State .65
  62. WAC / #141 Utah Valley (14-8, 8-1 WAC), .032 / Best Win: Seattle .28
  63. AMERICA EAST / #148 Stony Brook (17-7, 9-1 America East), .017 / Best Win: Vermont .32
  64. BIG SKY / #163 Weber State (12-7, 9-2 Big Sky), .017 / Best Win: North Dakota .22
  65. NORTHEAST / #176 Robert Morris (13-11, 8-1 Northeast), .003 / Best Win: at Bryant .53
  66. SWAC / #190 Southern U. (12-10, 8-1 SWAC), -.017 / Best Win: North Florida .33
  67. BIG SOUTH / #196 VMI (13-9, 6-3 Big South), -.024 / Best Win: Radford .43
  68. SOUTHERN / #210 Chattanooga (15-10, 9-1 Southern), -.036 / Best Win: Wofford .45
  69. #51 Richmond (15-8, 5-3 A-10), .156 / Best Win: at William & Mary .59
  70. #52 Mississippi (15-7, 6-3 SEC), .155 / Best Win: at Western Kentucky .63
  71. #53 Xavier (15-7, 5-4 Big East), .154 / Best Win: vs. Cincinnati .83
  72. #55 SMU (18-5, 7-3 American), .151 / Best Win: at Wyoming .58
  73. #56 Baylor (14-8, 2-7 Big 12), .148 / Best Win: at Oklahoma State .79
  74. #57 St. Mary’s-CA (17-7, 7-4 WCC), .146 / Best Win: at Boise State .64
  75. #58 Saint Joseph’s (15-7, 5-3 A-10), .146 / Best Win: at Dayton .65
  76. #60 North Carolina State (14-8, 4-5 ACC), .142 / Best Win: at Tennessee. 67

Conference #KPI Rankings (through games of February 6, 2014)

  1. Big 12 (148-72, .673 / 102-26, .797 Non-Conf) .182 KPI:
  2. Big Ten (181-91, .665 / 122-32, .792 Non-Conf) .181 KPI:
  3. Pac-12 (178-91, .662 / 119-32, .788 Non-Conf) .158 KPI:
  4. Big East (144-79, .646 / 96-31, .756 Non-Conf) .148 KPI:
  5. ACC (211-125, .628 / 139-53, .723 Non-Conf)  .135 KPI:
  6. Atlantic 10 (183-106, .633 / 131-54, .708 Non-Conf) .122 KPI:
  7. SEC (188-115, .620 / 125-52, .706 Non-Conf) .119 KPI:
  8. American (140-84, .625 / 91-35, .722 Non-Conf) .093 KPI:
  9. WCC (142-99, .589 / 83-40, .675 Non-Conf) .077 KPI:
  10. Mountain West (145-100, .592 / 91-46, .664 Non-Conf) .074 KPI:
  11. Missouri Valley (130-104, .556 / 75-49, .605 Non-Conf) .033 KPI:
  12. MAC (140-114, .554 / 86-60, .589 Non-Conf) .030 KPI:
  13. Summit (96-89, .519 / 66-59, .528 Non-Conf) .011 KPI:
  14. Horizon (115-104, .525 / 71-60, .542 Non-Conf) .007 KPI:
  15. Conference USA (196-163, .546 / 132-99, .571 Non-Conf) -.004 KPI:
  16. Sun Belt (108-110, .495 / 59-61, .492 Non-Conf) -.017 KPI:
  17. Colonial (100-111, .472 / 59-70, .457 Non-Conf) -.021 KPI:
  18. Ivy (76-71, .517 / 61-56, .521 Non-Conf) -.029 KPI:
  19. MAAC (115-129, 471 / 48-62, .436 Non-Conf) -.032 KPI:
  20. Big West (96-104, .480 / 60-68, .469 Non-Conf) -.037 KPI:
  21. Patriot (108-117, .480 / 53-62, .461 Non-Conf) -.049 KPI:
  22. Ohio Valley (134-155, .464 / 74-95, .438 Non-Conf) -.060 KPI:
  23. WAC (93-108, .463 / 55-70, .440 Non-Conf) -.062 KPI:
  24. Atlantic Sun (110-128, .462 / 53-71, .427 Non-Conf) -.063 KPI:
  25. Big Sky (103-122, .458 / 43-62, .410 Non-Conf) -.071 KPI:
  26. Southland (140-164, .461 / 70-94, .427 Non-Conf) -.079 KPI:
  27. Big South (129-149, .464 / 75-95, .441 Non-Conf) -.092 KPI:
  28. Southern (115-146, .441 / 63-94, .401 Non-Conf) -.099 KPI:
  29. Northeast (95-134, .415 / 50-89, .360 Non-Conf) -.111 KPI:
  30. SWAC (78-128, .379 / 33-83, .284 Non-Conf) -.118 KPI:
  31. America East (83-124, .401 / 39-80, .328 Non-Conf) -.121 KPI:
  32. MEAC (104-181, .365 / 48-125, .277 Non-Conf) -.134 KPI:

Top 10 #KPI Wins – ROAD GAMES ONLY (through games of February 6, 2014)

  1. +1.12     #9 Creighton 96, #3 Villanova 68 (Jan 20)
  2. +1.04     #2 Arizona 69, #13 San Diego State 60 (Nov 14)
  3. +1.01     #34 North Carolina 79, #5 Michigan State 65 (Dec 4)
  4. +0.97     #4 Wichita State 70, #20 Saint Louis 65 (Dec 1)
  5. +0.95     #15 Michigan 80, #5 Michigan State 75 (Jan 25)
  6. +0.94     #14 Duke 80, #25 Pittsburgh 65 (Jan 27)
  7. +0.94     #13 San Diego State 61, #1 Kansas 57 (Jan 5)
  8. +0.92     #7 Wisconsin 48, #17 Virginia 38 (Dec 4)
  9. +0.92     #75 Northwestern 65, #7 Wisconsin 56 (Jan 29)
  10. +0.91     #1 Kansas 77, #10 Iowa State 70

Top 10 #KPI Wins – NEUTRAL SITE GAMES ONLY (through games of February 6, 2014)

  1. +0.83     #53 Xavier 64, #16 Cincinnati 47 (Dec 14)
  2. +0.76     #7 Wisconsin 63, #20 Saint Louis 57 (Nov 26)
  3. +0.74     #29 George Washington 60, #9 Creighton 53 (Dec 1)
  4. +0.73     #63 Georgetown 64, #5 Michigan State 60 (Feb 1)
  5. +0.73     #45 Kansas State 72, #23 Gonzaga 62 (Dec 21)
  6. +0.72     #1 Kansas 80, #22 New Mexico 63 (Dec 14)
  7. +0.72     #13 San Diego State 86, #9 Creighton 80 (Nov 29)
  8. +0.72     #11 Massachusetts 81, #22 New Mexico 65 (Nov 22)
  9. +0.72     #3 Villanova 63, #1 Kansas 59 (Nov 29)
  10. +0.71     #42 Florida State 85, 85, #24 VCU 67 (Nov 21)

Top 10 #KPI Wins – HOME GAMES ONLY (through games of February 6, 2014)

  1. +0.71     #27 Louisville 69, #35 Southern Miss 38 (Nov 29)
  2. +0.69     #6 Syracuse 78, #3 Villanova 62 (Dec 28)
  3. +0.67     #39 California 60, #2 Arizona 58 (Feb 1)
  4. +0.65     #7 Wisconsin 59, #8 Florida 53 (Nov 12)
  5. +0.65     #22 New Mexico 63, #16 Cincinnati 54 (Dec 7)
  6. +0.63     #47 Tennessee 87, #17 Virginia 52 (Dec 30)
  7. +0.62     #48 Providence 81, #9 Creighton 68 (Jan 18)
  8. +0.62     #31 Connecticut 65, #8 Florida 64 (Dec 2)
  9. +0.61     #19 Texas 81, #1 Kansas 69 (Feb 1)
  10. +0.60     #19 Texas 72, #64 Stephen F. Austin 62 (Nov 15)

#KPI Numbers

  • The current adjustments are +0.17 for road teams, -0.18 for home teams and -0.05 for neutral site teams.
  • The average win is worth +0.19.  The average loss is worth -0.20.
  • Scoring (by conference, all games): 1-Big 12 (76.8 PPG); 2-Pac-12 (75.7 PPG); 3-WCC (75.6 PPG); 4-Big East (74.1 PPG); 5-American (73.8 PPG); 6-Big South (73.9 PPG); 7-American (73.8 PPG); 8-Big Ten (73.2 PPG); 9-Horizon (73.1 PPG); 10-SEC (72.8 PPG)
  • Scoring (by conference, conference games only): 1-Ohio Valley (75.0 PPG); 2-Northeast (74.6 PPG); 3-Big South (74.4 PPG); 4-Southland (73.8 PPG); 5-Big 12 (73.7 PPG); 6-MAAC (73.7 PPG); 7-WCC (72.5 PPG); 8-Atlantic Sun (71.4 PPG); 9-Big East (71.4 PPG); 10-Pac-12 (70.7 PPG)

#KPI Facts

  • Home teams are 2,677-1,119 (.705). There have been 352 games (8.5% of all games) played at a neutral site.  39.8% of all games are conference games to date.
  • Non-Conference #KPI: 1-Wisconsin; 2-Arizona; 3-Massachusetts; 4-Wichita State; 5-Ohio State; 6-Kansas; 7-Syracuse; 8-Villanova; 9-Oregon; 10-Iowa State
  • Conference #KPI: 1-Kansas; 2-Michigan; 3-Michigan State; 4-Virginia; 5-Villanova; 6-Arizona; 7-Creighton; 8-Saint Louis; 9-Cincinnati; 10-Syracuse
  • #KPI Only in Top-50 Games: 1-Northern Colorado (1-0); 2-Wichita State (3-0); 3-Arizona (8-1); 4-Cincinnati (4-1); 5-San Diego State (2-1); 6-Syracuse (6-0); 7-Michigan State (6-2); 8-Michigan (6-3); 9-Kansas (8-5); 10-Duke (5-3)
  • #KPI Only in Top-100 Games: 1-Wichita State (5-0); 2-Arizona (11-1); 3-Syracuse (11-0); 4-San Diego State (8-1); 5-Villanova (10-2); 6-Cincinnati (7-2); 7-Michigan State (10-3); 8-Southern Miss (3-1); 9-Kansas (13-5); 10-Saint Louis (6-2)
  • #KPI Strength of Schedule: 1-Kansas (.178); 2-Duke (.122); 3-Wisconsin (.122); 4-Iowa State (.120); 5-Michigan (.110); 6-Georgetown (.110); 7-Northwestern (.108); 8-Kentucky (.103); 9-Nebraska (.102); 10-Michigan State (.102)
  • 10.4% of all games involving a Division I team are currently against Non-Division I teams.  Division I teams are 416-14 (.967) in those games by a margin of 90.1 PPG to 60.6 PPG.  Non-Division I games also count in the #KPI rankings.  All games against Non-Division I teams count as one opponent (currently No. 343 in the #KPI).

#KPI Top Games This Weekend (February 7-9, 2014)

  1. #5 Michigan State at #7 Wisconsin (Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS)
  2. #15 Michigan at #30 Iowa (Saturday 2 p.m. ET, ESPN)
  3. #23 Gonzaga at #38 Memphis (Saturday 9 p.m. ET, ESPN)
  4. #19 Texas at #45 Kansas State (Saturday 1:30 p.m. ET, ESPN Full Court / Big 12 Network)
  5. #70 West Virginia at #1 Kansas (Saturday 4 p.m. ET, ESPN)
  6. #16 Cincinnati at #55 SMU (Saturday 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPNU)
  7. #65 Clemson at #6 Syracuse (Sunday 6 p.m. ET, ESPNU)
  8. #9 Creighton at #67 St. John’s (Sunday 7 p.m. ET, FOX Sports 1)
  9. #37 Oregon at #41 Arizona State (Saturday 5 p.m. ET, FOX Sports 1)
  10. #24 VCU at #58 Saint Joseph’s (Saturday 8 p.m. ET, CBS Sports Network)

This is the #KPI.

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