WEEK 12.5 #KPI BASKETBALL (as of 1/31/14)

#KPI Headlines:

  • Big Conference Bubble: Of the last 6 teams in the NCAA Tournament (by the #KPI formula) and the first 6 out, all are members of top-1o #KPI conferences (SEC, Pac-12, Big East, Atlantic 10, American, ACC, WCC).  All 36 at-large bids currently come from the top-10 conferences (though Toledo and Southern Miss would be IN if they were to fail to win their conference tournament).
  • Non-Conference Matchups: There are three non-conference games remaining between teams from top-10 #KPI conferences: Villanova-Temple and Michigan State-Georgetown both play Saturday.  Gonzaga visits Memphis on Feb. 8.
  • Scoring Higher in Low-Major Leagues: 7 of the top-11 scoring conferences in conference play are ranked between No. 22 and No. 32 in the conference #KPI.  Conferences range between 75.2 PPG (Northeast) and 62.6 PPG (America East).

#KPI by Team (through January 30): https://kpisports.files.wordpress.com/2014/01/2013-14-master-schedule-basketball-by-team-thru-jan-30.pdf

#KPI by Conference (through January 30): https://kpisports.files.wordpress.com/2014/01/2013-14-master-schedule-basketball-by-conference-thru-jan-30.pdf

#KPI by Game (through January 30): https://kpisports.files.wordpress.com/2014/01/2013-14-master-schedule-basketball-by-game-thru-jan-30.pdf

Data below compares the full season data from 2012-13 to full season data to date for the 2013-14 season through January 30: https://kpisports.files.wordpress.com/2014/01/college-basketball-statistical-trends-through-1-30-14.pdf

#KPI Basketball Field of 68 (through games of January 30, 2014): Automatic bids from the 32 conferences are determined (for now) by best conference record, then best overall record, then best #KPI.

  1. PAC-12 / #1 Arizona (21-0, 8-0 Pac-12), .408 (Best Win: at San Diego State 1.03)
  2. BIG 12 / #2 Kansas (16-4, 7-0 Big 12), .397 (Best Win: at Iowa State .87)
  3. #3 Michigan State (19-2, 8-1 Big Ten), .363 (Best Win: at Texas .88)
  4. #4 Villanova (18-2, 7-1  Big East), .346 (Best Win: at Saint Joseph’s .80)
  5. ACC / #5 Syracuse (20-0, 7-0 ACC), .330 (Best Win: vs. Villanova .68)
  6. #6 Wisconsin (17-4, 4-4 Big Ten), .323 (Best Win: at Virginia .90)
  7. MVC / #7 Wichita State (22-0, 9-0 MVC), .322 (Best Win: at Saint Louis .96)
  8. BIG EAST / #8 Creighton (18-3, 8-1 Big East), .304 (Best Win: at Villanova 1.12)
  9. SEC / #9 Florida (18-2, 7-0 SEC), .298 (Best Win: vs. Memphis .63)
  10. BIG TEN / #10 Michigan (16-4, 8-0 Big Ten), .296 (Best Win: at Michigan State .99)
  11. #11 Massachusetts (17-3, 4-2 Atlantic 10), .296 (Best Win: at Ohio .76)
  12. #12 Duke (17-4, 6-2 ACC), .286 (Best Win: at Pittsburgh .97)
  13. MOUNTAIN WEST / #13 San Diego State (18-1, 7-0 Mountain West), .274 (Best Win: at Kansas .96)
  14. AMERICAN / #14 Cincinnati (20-2, 9-0 American), .272 (Best Win: at Memphis .93)
  15. #15 UCLA (17-4, 6-2 Pac-12), .260 (Best Win: at Colorado .81)
  16. #16 Oklahoma State (16-4, 4-3 Big 12), .260 (Best Win: vs. Louisiana Tech .63)
  17. #17 New Mexico (16-4, 7-1 Mountain West), .258 (Best Win: at New Mexico State .70)
  18. #18 Virginia (16-5, 7-1 ACC), .254 (Best Win: at N.C. State .81)
  19. #19 Iowa State (15-4, 3-4 Big 12), .251 (Best Win: at BYU .62)
  20. #20 Oklahoma (17-4, 6-2 Big 12), .248 (Best Win: at Texas .83)
  21. #21 Pittsburgh (18-3, 6-2 ACC), .242 (Best Win: at N.C. State .70)
  22. #22 Texas (16-4, 5-2 Big 12), .241 (Best Win: at North Carolina .67)
  23. #23 Kentucky (15-5, 5-2 SEC), .238 (Best Win: at Vanderbilt .55)
  24. ATLANTIC 10 / #24 Saint Louis (19-2, 6-0 Atlantic 10), .238 (Best Win: at Dayton .62)
  25. #25 George Washington (17-3, 5-1 Atlantic 10), .237 (Best Win: vs. Creighton .74)
  26. #26 Ohio State (16-5, 3-5 Big Ten), .231 (Best Win: at Marquette .63)
  27. WEST COAST / #27 Gonzaga (19-3, 9-1 WCC), .222 (Best Win: at West Virginia .54)
  28. #28 Louisville (17-4, 6-2 American), .221 (Best Win: at Connecticut .88)
  29. #29 VCU (17-4, 5-1 Atlantic 10), .221 (Best Win: at Virginia .82)
  30. #30 Connecticut (17-4, 5-3 American), .219 (Best Win: at Memphis .87)
  31. MAC / #31 Toledo (18-2, 6-1 MAC), .217 (Best Win: at Akron .72)
  32. CONFERENCE USA / #32 Southern Miss (18-3, 5-1 C-USA), .216 (Best Win: at North Dakota State .79)
  33. #33 Iowa (16-5, 5-3 Big Ten), .211 (Best Win: at Ohio State .83)
  34. #34 Memphis (16-4, 6-2 American), .209 (Best Win: at Louisville .86)
  35. #35 Minnesota (15-6, 4-4 Big Ten), .199 (Best Win: at Richmond .74)
  36. #36 Oregon (14-6, 2-6 Pac-12), .198 (Best Win: at Mississippi .72)
  37. #37 Missouri (16-4, 4-3 SEC), .197 (Best Win: at N.C. State .66)
  38. #38 Florida State (13-7, 4-4 ACC), .194 (Best Win: at Clemson .73)
  39. #39 Xavier (15-5, 5-2 Big East), .194 (Best Win: vs. Cincinnati .83)
  40. #40 Arizona State (16-5, 5-3 Pac-12), .191 (Best Win: at California .70)
  41. #41 Kansas State (15-6, 5-3 Big 12), .191 (Best Win: vs. Gonzaga .71)
  42. #42 Colorado (15-6, 4-4 Pac-12), .190 (Best Win: vs. Kansas .60)
  43. #43 North Carolina (13-7, 3-4 ACC), .188 (Best Win: at Michigan State 1.05)
  44. #44 Tennessee (13-7, 4-3 SEC), .177 (Best Win: at LSU .77)
  45. SUMMIT / #45 North Dakota State (16-5, 5-1 Summit), .174 (Best Win: at Utah Valley .55)
  46. #46 Mississippi (14-6, 5-2 SEC), .169 (Best Win: at Western Kentucky .62)
  47. #47 Stanford (13-7, 4-4 Pac-12), .169 (Best Win: at Connecticut .83)
  48. #48 California (14-7, 5-3 Pac-12), .167 (Best Win: at Oregon .76)
  49. #49 Providence (15-6, 5-3 Big East), .164 (Best Win: vs. Creighton .63)
  50. #50 LSU (13-6, 4-3 SEC), .164 (Best Win: vs. Saint Joseph’s .55)
  51. IVY / #51 Harvard (15-3, 2-0 Ivy), .162
  52. OHIO VALLEY / #54 Belmont (17-7, 8-1 OVC), .156
  53. HORIZON / #58 Green Bay (17-4, 7-1 Horizon), .147
  54. SOUTHLAND / #66 Stephen F. Austin (19-2, 8-0 Southland), .123
  55. COLONIAL / #68 Delaware (15-7, 7-0 Colonial), .120
  56. ATLANTIC SUN / #79 Mercer (17-5, 8-1 Atlantic Sun), .106
  57. SUN BELT / #83 Georgia State (14-6, 7-0 Sun Belt), .093
  58. BIG WEST / #85 UC-Santa Barbara (13-6, 4-2 Big West), .092
  59. MAAC / #121 Canisius (15-7, 9-2 MAAC), .055
  60. PATRIOT / #126 American (13-7, 9-0 Patriot), .052
  61. MEAC / #130 North Carolina Central (14-5, 6-1 MEAC), .049
  62. NORTHEAST/ #143 Robert Morris (12-10, 7-0 Northeast), .036
  63. BIG SKY / #151 Weber State (11-6, 8-1 Big Sky), .028
  64. AMERICA EAST / #153 Stony Brook (15-7, 7-1 America East), .026
  65. WAC / #159 Utah Valley (13-7, 7-0 WAC), .021
  66. SWAC / #192 Southern U. (11-10, 7-1 SWAC), -.019
  67. SOUTHERN / #209 Chattanooga (14-9, 8-1 Southern), -.039
  68. BIG SOUTH / #216 Coastal Carolina (12-9, 5-2 Big South), -.044

Conference #KPI Rankings (through games of January 30, 2014)

  1. Big Ten (171-80, .681 / 122-31, .797 Non-Conf) .183 KPI:
  2. Big 12 (139-63, .688 / 102-26, .797 Non-Conf) .182 KPI:
  3. Pac-12 (167-80, .676 / 119-32, .788 Non-Conf) .159 KPI:
  4. Big East (135-72, .652 / 94-31, .752 Non-Conf) .146 KPI:
  5. ACC (196-111, .638 / 138-53, .723 Non-Conf)  .137 KPI:
  6. SEC (174-101, .633 / 125-52, .706 Non-Conf) .125 KPI:
  7. Atlantic 10 (171-94, .645 / 131-54, .708 Non-Conf) .122 KPI:
  8. American (131-74, .639 / 91-34, .728 Non-Conf) .100 KPI:
  9. Mountain West (135-90, .600 / 91-46, .664 Non-Conf) .080 KPI:
  10. WCC (132-89, .597 / 83-40, .675 Non-Conf) .079 KPI:
  11. Missouri Valley (120-94, .561 / 75-49, .605 Non-Conf) .036 KPI:
  12. MAC (128-102, .557 / 86-60, .589 Non-Conf) .031 KPI:
  13. Horizon (107-96, .527 / 71-60, .542 Non-Conf) .011 KPI:
  14. Summit (88-83, .515 / 64-59, .520 Non-Conf) .005 KPI:
  15. Conference USA (182-149, .550 / 132-99, .571 Non-Conf) .000 KPI:
  16. Sun Belt (98-100, .495 / 59-61, .492 Non-Conf) -.014 KPI:
  17. Colonial (90-101, .471 / 59-70, .457 Non-Conf) -.026 KPI:
  18. MAAC (106-120, 469 / 48-62, .436 Non-Conf) -.033 KPI:
  19. Ivy (68-63, .519 / 61-56, .521 Non-Conf) -.036 KPI:
  20. Big West (88-96, .478 / 60-68, .469 Non-Conf) -.038 KPI:
  21. Patriot (98-107, .478 / 53-62, .461 Non-Conf) -.051 KPI:
  22. WAC (86-101, .460 / 55-70, .440 Non-Conf) -.060 KPI:
  23. Ohio Valley (124-146, .459 / 73-95, .435 Non-Conf) -.067 KPI:
  24. Atlantic Sun (99-117, .458 / 53-71, .427 Non-Conf) -.068 KPI:
  25. Big Sky (92-111, .453 / 43-62, .410 Non-Conf) -.073 KPI:
  26. Southland (128-152, .457 / 70-94, .427 Non-Conf) -.077 KPI:
  27. Big South (116-137, .458 / 74-95, .438 Non-Conf) -.096 KPI:
  28. Southern (105-135, .438 / 63-93, .404 Non-Conf) -.101 KPI:
  29. Northeast (85-124, .407 / 50-89, .360 Non-Conf) -.114 KPI:
  30. SWAC (69-119, .367 / 33-83, .284 Non-Conf) -.118 KPI:
  31. MEAC (92-168, .354 / 48-124, .279 Non-Conf) -.130 KPI:
  32. America East (74-116, .389 / 38-80, .322 Non-Conf) -.131 KPI:

Top 10 #KPI Wins – ROAD GAMES ONLY (through games of January 30, 2014)

  1. +1.12     #8 Creighton 96, #4 Villanova 68 (Jan 20)
  2. +1.05     #43 North Carolina 79, #3 Michigan State 65 (Dec 4)
  3. +1.03     #1 Arizona 69, #13 San Diego State 60 (Nov 14)
  4. +0.99     #10 Michigan 80, #3 Michigan State 75 (Jan 25)
  5. +0.97     #12 Duke 80, #21 Pittsburgh 65 (Jan 27)
  6. +0.96     #7 Wichita State 70, #24 Saint Louis 65 (Dec 1)
  7. +0.96     #13 San Diego State 61, #2 Kansas 57 (Jan 5)
  8. +0.95     #88 Northwestern 65, #6 Wisconsin 56 (Jan 29)
  9. +0.93     #14 Cincinnati 69, #34 Memphis 53 (Jan 4)
  10. +0.92     #10 Michigan 77, #6 Wisconsin 70 (Jan 18)

Top 10 #KPI Wins – NEUTRAL SITE GAMES ONLY (through games of January 30, 2014)

  1. +0.83     #39 Xavier 64, #14 Cincinnati 47 (Dec 14)
  2. +0.75     #6 Wisconsin 63, #24 Saint Louis 57 (Nov 26)
  3. +0.74     #25 George Washington 60, #8 Creighton 53 (Dec 1)
  4. +0.73     #4 Villanova 63, #2 Kansas 59 (Nov 29)
  5. +0.72     #76 Marquette 76, #25 George Washington 60 (Nov 29)
  6. +0.72     #13 San Diego State 86, #8 Creighton 80 (Nov 29)
  7. +0.71     #12 Duke 80, #15 UCLA 63 (Dec 19)
  8. +0.71     #38 Florida State 60, #11 Massachusetts 55 (Dec 21)
  9. +0.71     #2 Kansas 80, #17 New Mexico 63 (Dec 14)
  10. +0.71     #41 Kansas State 72, #27 Gonzaga 62 (Dec 21)

Top 10 #KPI Wins – HOME GAMES ONLY (through games of January 30, 2014)

  1. +0.70     #28 Louisville 69, #32 Southern Miss 38 (Nov 29)
  2. +0.68     #5 Syracuse 78, #4 Villanova 62 (Dec 28)
  3. +0.64     #17 New Mexico 63, #14 Cincinnati 54 (Dec 7)
  4. +0.64     #6 Wisconsin 59, #9 Florida 53 (Nov 12)
  5. +0.63     #49 Providence 81, #8 Creighton 68 (Jan 18)
  6. +0.62     #9 Florida 67, #2 Kansas 61 (Dec 10)
  7. +0.62     #70 St. Bonaventure 78, #11 Massachusetts 65 (Jan 29)
  8. +0.61     #125 Western Michigan 87, #31 Toledo 76 (Jan 8)
  9. +0.61     #30 Connecticut 65, #9 Florida 64 (Dec 2)
  10. +0.61     #44 Tennessee 87, #18 Virginia 52 (Dec 30)

#KPI Numbers

  • The current adjustments are +0.17 for road teams, -0.18 for home teams and -0.05 for neutral site teams.
  • The average win is worth +0.18.  The average loss is worth -0.20.
  • Scoring (by conference, all games): 1-Big 12 (77.1 PPG); 2-Pac-12 (76.1 PPG); 3-WCC (75.9 PPG); 4-Big East (74.4 PPG); 5-American (74.0 PPG); 6-Big Ten (73.7 PPG); 7-Ohio Valley (73.7 PPG); 8-Big South (73.6 PPG); 9-SEC (73.2 PPG); 10-Horizon (73.0 PPG)
  • Scoring (by conference, conference games only): 1-Northeast (75.2 PPG); 2-Ohio Valley (74.0 PPG); 3-Big South (73.9 PPG); 4-MAAC (73.9 PPG); 5-Southland (73.9 PPG); 6-Big 12 (73.7 PPG); 7-WCC (72.3 PPG); 8-Big East (71.7 PPG); 9-Atlantic Sun (71.6 PPG); 10-Southern (71.4 PPG)

#KPI Facts

  • Home teams are 2453-1013 (.708). There have been 351 games (9.2% of all games) played at a neutral site.  34.8% of all games are conference games to date.
  • Non-Conference #KPI: 1-Wisconsin; 2-Arizona; 3-Massachusetts; 4-Wichita State; 5-Ohio State; 6-Villanova; 7-Syracuse; 8-Kansas; 9-Iowa State; 10-Oregon
  • Conference #KPI: 1-Kansas, 2-Michigan; 3-Michigan State; 4-Arizona; 5-Penn; 6-Virginia; 7-Creighton; 8-Villanova; 9-Syracuse; 10-Cincinnati
  • #KPI Only in Top-50 Games: 1-Northern Colorado; 2-Arizona; 3-Wichita State; 4-San Diego State; 5-Syracuse; 6-IPFW; 7-Cincinnati; 8-Michigan State; 9-Michigan; 10-Duke
  • #KPI Only in Top-100 Games: 1-Arizona; 2-Wichita State; 3-Syracuse; 4-Michigan State; 5-San Diego State; 6-Cincinnati; 7-Kansas; 8-Michigan; 9-Villanova; 10-St. Mary’s-CA
  • #KPI Strength of Schedule: 1-Kansas (.177); 2-Iowa State (.115); 3-Michigan (.114); 4-Duke (.114); 5-Wisconsin (.112); 6-Northwestern (.106); 7-Florida State (.105); 8-Colorado (.103); 9-Kentucky (.103); 10-Alabama (.103)
  • 11.2% of all games involving a Division I team are currently against Non-Division I teams.  Division I teams are 412-14 (.967) in those games by a margin of 90.1 PPG to 60.6 PPG.  Non-Division I games also count in the #KPI rankings.  All games against Non-Division I teams count as one opponent (currently No. 343 in the #KPI).

#KPI Top Games This Weekend (January 31-February 2, 2014)

  1. #12 Duke at #5 Syracuse (Saturday 6:30 p.m. ET, ESPN)
  2. #2 Kansas at #22 Texas (Saturday 4 p.m. ET, ESPN)
  3. #26 Ohio State at #6 Wisconsin (Saturday 12 p.m. ET, ESPN)
  4. #18 Virginia at #21 Pittsburgh (Sunday 12:30 p.m. ET, ESPNU)
  5. #20 Oklahoma at #19 Iowa State (Saturday 4 p.m. ET, ESPN Full Court / Big 12 Network)
  6. #1 Arizona at #48 California (Saturday 10:30 p.m. ET, Pac-12 Network)
  7. #23 Kentucky at #37 Missouri (Saturday 1 p.m. ET, CBS)
  8. #11 Massachusetts at #61 Saint Joseph’s (Saturday 6 p.m. ET, CBS Sports Network)
  9. #53 Richmond at #29 VCU (Saturday 12 p.m. ET, ESPN2)
  10. #25 George Washington at #59 Dayton (Saturday 12:30 p.m. ET, NBC Sports Network)

This is the #KPI.

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